MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4afbd04e4eb36a38ec65727532d47ac0b8fe1aecf56b5583ec4e191a3a4ee7ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Marlins, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 56c | 13,721$7,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.09 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Marlins | 44c | 12,532$5,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.29 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Orioles | 56c | 9,200$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.99 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Marlins | 45c | 7,111$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.95 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 44c | 3,909$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 55c | 3,000$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 56c | 2,451$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.26 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Marlins | 45c | 2,379$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.65 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 25c | 2,015$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 68c | 1,892$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.39 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Marlins | 47c | 1,714$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 11c | 1,646$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 76c | 1,580$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.5 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 19c | 1,574$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Marlins | 44c | 1,514$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.16 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…d3f0backed Marlins | 9c | 1,127$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +177.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 12c | 1,102$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Marlins | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 43c | 999.95$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 55c | 953.97$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 7c | 863.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 44c | 861.7$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.15 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 53c | 654.13$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 47c | 532$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 44c | 502.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…5126backed Orioles | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Marlins | 30c | 499.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 43c | 451.96$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Marlins | 45c | 450.03$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Orioles | 56c | 448$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Marlins | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Orioles | 57c | 435.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 46c | 430.7$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 54c | 420.37$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Orioles | 54c | 416.52$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.6 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Marlins | 46c | 324.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 74c | 307.73$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 43c | 270.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 56c | 262.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Orioles | 57c | 239.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…6441backed Orioles | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 5c | 228$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 57c | 180.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 44c | 175.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Orioles | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 44c | 169.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Marlins | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Marlins | 40c | 139.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Orioles | 76c | 124.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…3c69backed Marlins | 44c | 122.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Orioles | 79c | 115$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Marlins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Orioles | 55c | 112.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…5b53backed Marlins | 46c | 112.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Marlins | 44c | 109.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Orioles | 55c | 104.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Marlins | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…2108backed Marlins | 45c | 103.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Marlins | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Orioles | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…1a89backed Marlins | 45c | 97.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…fb52backed Marlins | 45c | 96.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Marlins | 47c | 96.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 44c | 94.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…14a3backed Marlins | 45c | 90.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…97dfbacked Marlins | 45c | 88.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…134bbacked Marlins | 45c | 87.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…ebebbacked Orioles | 54c | 87.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 56c | 87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…aebebacked Marlins | 13c | 85.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…5ca5backed Orioles | 57c | 84.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…30b9backed Orioles | 57c | 84.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd327…c74bbacked Orioles | 57c | 84.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Marlins | 47c | 83.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…d523backed Orioles | 57c | 83.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…e780backed Orioles | 57c | 83.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…ce97backed Orioles | 57c | 80.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…6ac8backed Orioles | 57c | 80.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Marlins | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…7175backed Marlins | 45c | 79.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed Marlins | 47c | 78.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…7702backed Orioles | 57c | 76.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2f…64e9backed Orioles | 54c | 74.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…d471backed Orioles | 57c | 74.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…6576backed Marlins | 45c | 74.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…dd52backed Orioles | 57c | 73.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380a…7505backed Marlins | 45c | 73.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Marlins | 23c | 69.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…3839backed Orioles | 57c | 67.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.