NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78f67acc972e68f1daddd9bf82174eb2b1a38350142a0c544a15d17c4a133238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Devils, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Maple Leafs | 18c | 4,635$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.77 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Devils | 71c | 2,810$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,659$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.49 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Devils | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.91 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…77d9backed Devils | 52c | 2,305$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…abbebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,305$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 52c | 1,375$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.96 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Devils | 56c | 1,042$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 766.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 737.92$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 641.77$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.9 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…642fbacked Devils | 71c | 632.88$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 591.78$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.56 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 577.58$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 51c | 565.61$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 499.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Devils | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils | 62c | 369.08$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.65 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Devils | 65c | 350.7$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cad…4a69backed Devils | 57c | 350$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Devils | 54c | 305$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Devils | 77c | 228.76$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…4410backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 225.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…0976backed Devils | 53c | 225.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…6021backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 219.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…9a7abacked Devils | 53c | 218.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…37efbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 208.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…0704backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 200.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…8644backed Devils | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…070dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…b93fbacked Devils | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…5f44backed Devils | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 177.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Devils | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Maple Leafs | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Devils | 71c | 150.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…f1d6backed Devils | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 140.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…40c1backed Devils | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 132.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…2751backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 130.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…baa8backed Devils | 54c | 116.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 113$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…ed1ebacked Devils | 54c | 112.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…c5d4backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 108.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…8239backed Devils | 55c | 108.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…7c9ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 108.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…e7ccbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 108.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…89b8backed Devils | 54c | 107.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 106.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…05f3backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 105.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Devils | 54c | 103.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…00e4backed Devils | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Devils | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 99.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…c3e5backed Devils | 54c | 94.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…510cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 94.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Devils | 54c | 93.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 90.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Devils | 51c | 85.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…0b16backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 85.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…a614backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 83.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…bc1fbacked Devils | 52c | 82.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…7126backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 81.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…c6a2backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 80.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…02fcbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 80.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…dfffbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 77.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Devils | 55c | 76.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…0590backed Devils | 53c | 76.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Devils | 55c | 75.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…496bbacked Devils | 53c | 75.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…d6b1backed Devils | 55c | 75.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 74.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Devils | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed Devils | 55c | 73.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…bf79backed Devils | 55c | 73.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…7bccbacked Devils | 55c | 71.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…d590backed Devils | 52c | 70.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…b006backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…c6c4backed Devils | 55c | 69.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…fbf3backed Devils | 55c | 67.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…e263backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 65.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Devils | 54c | 65.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…2776backed Devils | 54c | 65.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…23bebacked Devils | 55c | 64.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.