NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d1f813f0303f85cbca63597b7322b433109de651eb2759f6363d1ba36b1593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Lightning, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Lightning | 56c | 21,368$12,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,036.03 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 56c | 20,089$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.95 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Canadiens | 38c | 19,277$7,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,918.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Canadiens | 31c | 16,044$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,072.89 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Lightning | 69c | 14,064$9,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700.66 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Canadiens | 44c | 8,568$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.15 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…1067backed Canadiens | 43c | 8,356$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Lightning | 55c | 8,003$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 44c | 6,735$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.95 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…75f6backed Lightning | 57c | 5,999$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Lightning | 63c | 4,197$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.29 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 3,864$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.64 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Canadiens | 44c | 3,278$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.3 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens | 43c | 3,208$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.56 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 71c | 2,848$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.95 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lightning | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…5715backed Lightning | 57c | 2,357$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…1fffbacked Lightning | 56c | 2,279$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Canadiens | 44c | 2,279$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 45c | 2,234$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.03 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Lightning | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Canadiens | 44c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…5a1ebacked Canadiens | 43c | 1,478$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b61…c9eebacked Canadiens | 17c | 1,442$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +303.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Lightning | 58c | 1,415$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed Lightning | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Canadiens | 43c | 1,315$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Lightning | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 57c | 977.88$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.61 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e0…b6f5backed Lightning | 57c | 961$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…0ad5backed Canadiens | 43c | 960$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdb…e57fbacked Lightning | 57c | 876.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 39c | 821.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…dde1backed Canadiens | 43c | 819.37$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Lightning | 57c | 819.37$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Canadiens | 45c | 773$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.15 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…4845backed Lightning | 56c | 732.35$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Canadiens | 44c | 732.35$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lightning | 56c | 701.93$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.08 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…4bd3backed Canadiens | 43c | 699.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Lightning | 58c | 693.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…9201backed Lightning | 57c | 652.6$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Lightning | 56c | 595$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canadiens | 44c | 510$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Canadiens | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canadiens | 42c | 499.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.97 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Canadiens | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…72d6backed Lightning | 75c | 420$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…d5e8backed Canadiens | 43c | 407.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…7240backed Canadiens | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Canadiens | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…1f13backed Lightning | 57c | 372.1$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…d3f0backed Lightning | 57c | 355.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…e559backed Canadiens | 43c | 317.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…f0acbacked Lightning | 57c | 309.85$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Canadiens | 49c | 307.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 57c | 300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…1ad0backed Lightning | 57c | 296.5$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canadiens | 43c | 262.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Canadiens | 44c | 255$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…03ebbacked Lightning | 57c | 244.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Canadiens | 43c | 238.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.64 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…ea77backed Canadiens | 43c | 229.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e1…b5fbbacked Canadiens | 43c | 227$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…6a21backed Lightning | 57c | 223.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Canadiens | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Canadiens | 44c | 222$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 56c | 203$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9841backed Lightning | 58c | 186.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…8476backed Lightning | 56c | 185.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f88…27b0backed Lightning | 57c | 172.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 42c | 171.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f3b3backed Lightning | 57c | 169.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd213…cd36backed Canadiens | 43c | 169.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Canadiens | 39c | 162.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 48c | 161.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Canadiens | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Canadiens | 48c | 144.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Canadiens | 44c | 143.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…53b1backed Canadiens | 43c | 141.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…4325backed Lightning | 58c | 129.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…14c9backed Canadiens | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…d3e0backed Canadiens | 44c | 124.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…f05dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 120.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Canadiens | 44c | 118.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…c6a2backed Lightning | 58c | 118.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Lightning | 58c | 117.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…e8b4backed Canadiens | 44c | 117.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…da32backed Lightning | 58c | 116.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…2e6dbacked Lightning | 57c | 116.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Canadiens | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…24e3backed Canadiens | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…c317backed Canadiens | 43c | 114.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Lightning | 57c | 112.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Lightning | 58c | 112.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…1851backed Canadiens | 44c | 109.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.