NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f2434e901f61c522164a033fa6edc21abe53c821cf6215efe85c1e9ec922ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,361,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,349,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,361,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 896 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hurricanes | 65c | 331,326$215,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215,360.99 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Hurricanes | 66c | 259,197$172,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,326.14 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hurricanes | 66c | 257,007$170,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,816.49 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 240,879$84,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,571.34 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 192,994$69,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,918.19 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 133,038$46,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,718.97 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hurricanes | 35c | 100,000$35,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,449.98 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 65,000$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,300 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 55,312$18,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,839.06 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 40,000$13,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,550 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 31,635$10,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,879.29 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 26,650$8,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,714 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 25,113$8,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,650.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 20,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Hurricanes | 66c | 19,694$12,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,998.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 18,175$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.38 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 17,803$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,928.13 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 13,684$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.48 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 9,486$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,071.13 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 9,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 8,866$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.55 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 8,575$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.06 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Hurricanes | 66c | 7,879$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 7,242$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.3 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 6,687$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.83 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 6,050$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.18 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.81 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 5,310$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.6 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,131$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.45 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Hurricanes | 65c | 4,705$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.93 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 4,697$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.42 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hurricanes | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 4,378$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 4,125$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…1ee2backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 4,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 3,999$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.01 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 3,963$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.73 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 3,789$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.02 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…76cfbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 3,700$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…1dccbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 3,700$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.44 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 3,402$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.38 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,672$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.01 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,605$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.29 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 2,500$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,499$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.12 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,449$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,280$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.11 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Hurricanes | 48c | 2,089$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,029$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.57 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Hurricanes | 64c | 2,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.97 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 1,686$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.27 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,680$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.4 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.1 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 1,500$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.98 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hurricanes | 67c | 1,393$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.31 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,374$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.7 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,291$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.65 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes | 20c | 1,230$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,141$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.06 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Hurricanes | 35c | 1,071$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,057$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.55 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,028$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Hurricanes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Hurricanes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d5…178fbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Hurricanes | 1c | 942.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Hurricanes | 65c | 932.09$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.86 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 929$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.56 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 927.76$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.04 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 887$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.92 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 850.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.31 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 832.74$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 815.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.86 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 757$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.16 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 750$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 731.06$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…e3d9backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 725.3$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 724$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 724$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 699.97$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Hurricanes | 10c | 675.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 628.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 624.18$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.75 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…e0dfbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanesthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.