NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d6404aec5886a971cff18e68b2f774cd0bd20e20b64fbe66765ff2a27dc7e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 114,760$56,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,367.33 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 54,266$27,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,822.14 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 51c | 12,974$6,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,357.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Under | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.71 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 10,500$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Under | 51c | 6,992$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.97 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 52c | 1,824$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.39 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,810$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Under | 52c | 1,363$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.46 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 51c | 1,018$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.72 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…5839backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 375.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 374.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.42 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 36c | 180$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 50c | 148.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 49c | 142.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…c744backed Under | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 50c | 109.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 54c | 104.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 101.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…8cbcbacked Over | 50c | 86.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…946dbacked Under | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 74.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…4a99backed Over | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…a664backed Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 51c | 54.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 49c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed Over | 49c | 30.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Under | 51c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…b8f3backed Under | 51c | 26.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…8becbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…31a8backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 51c | 22.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 52c | 22.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…849ebacked Under | 52c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Maple Leafs vs. HurricanesMaple Leafs won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.