NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a9a8b65f51b27e8d63a92235047903f71bae8cd44cb82c3b6f7c23c0afd5240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Grizzlies, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 810 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b59…5f20backed Grizzlies | 43c | 72,108$31,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,006.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…1070backed Kings | 57c | 72,108$41,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,006.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 30c | 19,948$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.83 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 29c | 14,109$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.47 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 54c | 13,616$7,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,267.52 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 16c | 12,097$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.58 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Grizzlies | 43c | 10,921$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.02 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings | 58c | 8,090$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 55c | 7,568$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.18 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Grizzlies | 43c | 7,018$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 69c | 6,626$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Grizzlies | 22c | 6,404$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.96 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Kings | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 4,930$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 4,299$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.76 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Grizzlies | 12c | 3,917$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…0d7cbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 3,788$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 3,452$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kings | 58c | 3,280$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.77 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…52e2backed Grizzlies | 43c | 3,276$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Grizzlies | 42c | 3,217$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.69 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Kings | 74c | 3,184$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.78 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Grizzlies | 44c | 3,008$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.63 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…973dbacked Kings | 57c | 2,427$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kings | 56c | 2,419$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.13 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…cad2backed Kings | 57c | 2,358$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 2,306$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kings | 56c | 2,290$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.68 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…c6efbacked Kings | 57c | 2,279$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 70c | 2,249$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.48 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 53c | 2,004$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.39 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Grizzlies | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Kings | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Kings | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.83 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 1,875$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…a70abacked Kings | 56c | 1,874$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,819$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.8 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 1,745$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.6 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,665$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 56c | 1,562$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.67 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Kings | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 1,498$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings | 80c | 1,475$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.94 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,348$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.01 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,332$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,330$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Kings | 56c | 1,323$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.05 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 58c | 1,244$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Kings | 58c | 1,216$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 75c | 1,209$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,203$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…a3cbbacked Kings | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,200$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…9ce2backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,111$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,031$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 57c | 1,013$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.72 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.23 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…6929backed Kings | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Grizzlies | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…2950backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Grizzlies | 42c | 960$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 955.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Kings | 56c | 900$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Kings | 57c | 866.98$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Grizzlies | 43c | 831.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.79 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…d5abbacked Kings | 57c | 789.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 56c | 776$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.52 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5043backed Grizzlies | 44c | 770.45$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 19c | 742.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 79c | 740.84$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 699.95$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Grizzlies | 45c | 665.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 56c | 661.16$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.52 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 658$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 63c | 639.44$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…dd54backed Grizzlies | 44c | 627.13$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 57c | 622$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.46 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…c32abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 613.84$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…11b6backed Grizzlies | 45c | 607.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Kings | 57c | 599.02$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Grizzlies | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Grizzlies | 45c | 559.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 532.15$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Kings | 67c | 527.11$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Grizzlies | 16c | 524.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Grizzlies | 20c | 505$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies | 51c | 504.55$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.91 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Grizzlies | 3c | 503.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.