TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked No30c23,283$6,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,966.2140254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab3…9c34backed Yes70c22,534$15,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,760.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No1c11,362$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.627839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No30c6,485$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.6937841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No32c5,505$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.798750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8290…7fa3backed Yes71c4,392$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No33c4,021$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.3168026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No34c3,929$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.4241437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Yes53c2,955$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes60c2,734$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.457241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No30c2,282$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed Yes71c2,154$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.923855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+102.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No32c2,023$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.2640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Yes66c1,850$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes68c1,770$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.254264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4528…9e8ebacked Yes68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Yes66c1,535$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.851560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No31c1,500$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes70c1,339$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.491656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes68c1,278$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.973360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed No40c1,257$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.562268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No31c1,194$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.135650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No45c1,137$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c1,129$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.329044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes71c1,063$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.623161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed No70c1,031$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No35c994.7$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No23c909$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0736954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes68c896.06$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7415347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce2…060bbacked Yes68c845.59$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.59520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes50c838.1$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.14042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No30c831.23$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.371250%6 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+80.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No31c818.31$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.556158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes65c732.46$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3625339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No37c694.48$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes62c678.34$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.773360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Yes74c629.49$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No41c612.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No31c590.24$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes68c588.85$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.234052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes68c587.74$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9210445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6150…13f7backed Yes69c510$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.63100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes67c500$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16642755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1825637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes68c407.35$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.355259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No31c405.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7859958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No32c345.56$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No32c328.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.278047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes65c308.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.083435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes66c304.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.315352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.039037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9921153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369d…6d58backed Yes68c294.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed No38c274.35$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeea…d48bbacked Yes68c264.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No32c251.31$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed No33c242.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.497256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes65c238.78$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5715636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes66c238.34$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1510341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes67c233.78$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.043732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes69c221.04$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.525050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f45…6058backed No35c217.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9efa…f602backed No33c213.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd99e…e878backed No37c195.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Yes68c183.82$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.824555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes66c182.62$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85e0…d2aebacked No35c179.71$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes32c170$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.616737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf09c…4507backed No34c168.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes67c166.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7621463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…4657backed Yes68c161.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.922450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf305…4c09backed Yes67c159.85$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.751250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d66…89c4backed Yes65c153.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…af2ebacked Yes66c151.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes68c147.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.148155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes69c145.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.024940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.935541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb3…a376backed Yes69c142.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.03540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No35c140.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2522050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes68c133.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.756152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe385…2210backed Yes69c133$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed No31c128.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.914136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0817146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df8…6bf3backed Yes34c110.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.74540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…4c25backed Yes63c107.41$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes68c105.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Yes68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.944755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x585a…9efcbacked Yes67c100.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3426054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc891…1cbebacked Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.674645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.