Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b09c5f520f5e1fc4a85b4eb4b66384d88939b61e76987f36aaa83d54fd546a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Yes | 73c | 1,453$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 17c | 1,256$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.18 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 29c | 661$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.83 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…7599backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…65c3backed Yes | 19c | 523.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 59c | 474.58$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 40c | 409.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 51c | 405.46$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.52 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Yes | 52c | 386.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…6e13backed Yes | 19c | 303$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…2210backed Yes | 49c | 283.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 67c | 280.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…e918backed Yes | 19c | 264.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 15c | 249.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 17c | 207.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 34c | 195.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 28c | 180.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…916dbacked Yes | 42c | 157.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 50c | 142.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 112.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Yes | 50c | 99.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 29c | 69.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 41c | 46.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…314dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 51c | 36.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…f8bdbacked Yes | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-01-18?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.