NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc420d7b4b1db682539bc5541aa29757c1eb2decb19b7b8f29988263da03a1f49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 60c | 38,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,199.99 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Senators | 64c | 34,587$22,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,478.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Senators | 61c | 32,000$19,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,380 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…eba1backed Sharks | 40c | 29,268$11,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,707 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Senators | 76c | 17,809$13,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.66 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 39c | 16,851$6,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.47 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 45c | 16,564$7,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,408.12 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sharks | 36c | 11,481$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.06 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 61c | 9,006$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.59 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Senators | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sharks | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Senators | 58c | 4,941$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.82 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 39c | 4,231$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Sharks | 35c | 4,150$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.04 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sharks | 39c | 2,860$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.67 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Sharks | 40c | 2,812$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.8 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 66c | 2,422$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.02 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 59c | 2,369$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.16 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Senators | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks | 38c | 1,785$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.95 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Senators | 61c | 1,777$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.05 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Sharks | 40c | 1,775$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 37c | 1,631$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.98 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 57c | 1,420$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.23 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Sharks | 37c | 1,144$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.44 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sharks | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Senators | 59c | 1,039$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sharks | 40c | 955.75$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.3 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Sharks | 42c | 950$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4130backed Senators | 61c | 880$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…0b56backed Sharks | 40c | 820$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…f048backed Sharks | 48c | 767.74$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sharks | 41c | 752$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.32 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 6c | 732.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…714dbacked Sharks | 40c | 690$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Senators | 61c | 630$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sharks | 39c | 558.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks | 45c | 538$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Sharks | 40c | 536.5$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Senators | 38c | 527.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.04 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Sharks | 26c | 506.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Senators | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sharks | 39c | 500$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Sharks | 33c | 474.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.07 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sharks | 39c | 469.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Sharks | 39c | 458.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Senators | 57c | 432.65$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks | 39c | 431.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Senators | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 39c | 406.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Senators | 61c | 402.25$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.88 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 59c | 360$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…5c30backed Sharks | 45c | 354.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Senators | 59c | 341.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Senators | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 59c | 292$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Sharks | 40c | 291.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…4b94backed Senators | 51c | 291.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 58c | 274.63$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Sharks | 42c | 263.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Sharks | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Sharks | 38c | 256.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Sharks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sharks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Sharks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Sharks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Sharks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sharks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Sharks | 35c | 225$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sharks | 35c | 209.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sharks | 36c | 203.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Senators | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Sharks | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Senators | 52c | 199.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 47c | 197$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Sharks | 52c | 190.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4212…0295backed Sharks | 40c | 190.28$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Senators | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Senators | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Senators | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed Senators | 60c | 161.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…c1c2backed Senators | 38c | 156.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sharks | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Sharks | 46c | 153.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks | 43c | 145.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Sharks | 41c | 143.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Senators | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Senators | 55c | 126$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Sharks | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…cba1backed Sharks | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Sharks | 41c | 121.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Sharksthis page
- Senators vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.