Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa007f6c22fa1cf1c54ccb0a485e4b168dc7df63a7ecbab195ac0763712f37adc

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 22, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $127,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,568 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	41c	24,616$10,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,568.55	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Yes	59c	16,271$9,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,600	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	41c	15,323$6,274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,048.69	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	41c	13,592$5,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,066.86	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	58c	5,000$2,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,899.99	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No	42c	3,405$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,974.75	146	59.6%87 W · 59 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	41c	3,028$1,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,789.26	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No	44c	2,616$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,475.8	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes	59c	2,542$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes	59c	2,372$1,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.48	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-14.7wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	43c	2,212$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,269.03	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No	39c	2,132$839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,292.74	166	60.8%101 W · 65 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	59c	1,960$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.4	292	38.4%112 W · 180 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes	58c	1,773$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	58c	1,724$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-12.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes	60c	1,676$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…94c3backed Yes	62c	1,613$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	60c	1,412$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.46	256	37.9%97 W · 159 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes	60c	1,400$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb17b…f7f5backed Yes	59c	1,251$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.06	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	59c	1,200$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.57	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes	59c	1,165$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.24	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	59c	1,131$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.95	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e24…b99cbacked Yes	60c	1,118$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.13	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes	60c	998.34$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.56	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc081…efeebacked Yes	61c	988.12$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No	40c	895.78$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.03	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	56c	894.6$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes	56c	892.86$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed No	42c	849.58$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.76	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Yes	59c	847.46$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No	42c	823.63$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.71	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes	51c	805.02$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.56	240	62.5%150 W · 90 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	59c	800$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd11…44e1backed Yes	59c	794.31$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.64	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	40c	718.14$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.96	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3937…f693backed Yes	60c	695.12$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.23	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92f…566bbacked Yes	58c	623.34$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.54	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	47c	601$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.38	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes	59c	593.22$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes	60c	582.9$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.74	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No	39c	576.17$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.46	147	54.4%80 W · 67 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	41c	575.95$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.81	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffb…9801backed Yes	59c	555.12$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.52	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-4.0wins	-0.25per pick	69cpaid	-41%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	59c	511.06$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes	59c	506.98$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes	59c	504.76$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	43c	501.1$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.14	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	60c	500$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.5	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes	65c	500$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes	59c	499.99$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.99	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No	41c	499.86$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.17	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes	59c	474.98$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes	59c	463.89$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.69	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	53c	454.43$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.45	297	51.9%154 W · 143 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Yes	57c	444.1$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.14	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…0834backed Yes	59c	443.47$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.83	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x413d…0db8backed Yes	59c	418.45$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.89	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes	59c	407.68$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.44	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-5.3wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-45%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes	62c	405.73$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.07	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Yes	62c	405.3$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.45	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes	63c	373.69$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.83	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes	57c	350$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	253	39.1%99 W · 154 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa2…fb61backed Yes	60c	346.07$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Yes	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.42per pick	56cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc414…f1e8backed Yes	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes	56c	333.02$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.49	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97d…761ebacked Yes	60c	312.38$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes	60c	300$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.47	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad13…804fbacked Yes	60c	264.66$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c50…7403backed Yes	59c	255.53$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1457…e1f6backed Yes	59c	254.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Yes	59c	254.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes	59c	254.22$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c7…3c3bbacked Yes	59c	252.12$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.75	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed Yes	59c	238.31$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.6	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-5.1wins	-0.27per pick	58cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed Yes	45c	237.67$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.95	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed Yes	8c	233$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb10d…becebacked Yes	57c	231.58$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d57…574fbacked Yes	22c	227.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8744…8f31backed Yes	45c	222.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d4…80a7backed Yes	59c	221.1$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…70f0backed Yes	61c	220.33$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.4	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes	58c	209.19$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.33	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-5.6wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes	35c	208.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.88	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	+5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-5.9wins	-0.22per pick	48cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x52ef…6b77backed Yes	58c	206.9$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Yes	59c	206.42$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No	40c	204.89$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.94	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	59c	200.51$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.3	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	42c	200.01$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.01	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes	57c	199.97$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.98	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes	21c	195.24$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	27c	181$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.87	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19dd…2cffbacked Yes	52c	170.96$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.9	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-3.8wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?this page
Will Everton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes won
Will Everton win on 2024-12-22?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event