Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2024-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2548472c15f8256f1f336ae2087dc55f5bf47d04ea2c4822d1dd04c3a3c74de2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 17c | 7,048$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.64 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,015$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.69 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,579$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.61 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 19c | 955.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 17c | 865.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 18c | 499.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 18c | 462.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Yes | 17c | 450.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…9bd8backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 14c | 181.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 13c | 159.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5459…9b52backed Yes | 18c | 105.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…46dbbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4246…100dbacked Yes | 16c | 91.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 16c | 85.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…08fcbacked Yes | 19c | 84.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…7d54backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…99eabacked Yes | 19c | 70.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…d1e0backed Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-22?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?No won
- Will Everton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.