Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85fcec5cb5007bb00d3306c244b500011a04d4adf25e7044a59145d303986a26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x616c…2ef3backed Yes | 22c | 10,049$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,837.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf253…9baebacked Yes | 22c | 10,046$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,835.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…e89fbacked No | 78c | 10,023$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,817.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…7fc3backed No | 78c | 10,010$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,808.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,624$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.27 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 79c | 1,453$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.08 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…4515backed No | 6c | 1,202$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,134$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.63 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 24c | 966.01$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 80c | 964$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.2 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 803.86$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.89 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…30f4backed No | 2c | 738.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 80c | 696.12$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2499…fed3backed Yes | 69c | 574.29$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…4a8abacked No | 9c | 548.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…8949backed No | 35c | 494.31$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…b0c1backed Yes | 24c | 423.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked No | 79c | 379.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 17c | 304.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 13c | 287.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked No | 59c | 216.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…e8bbbacked No | 9c | 205.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…483cbacked Yes | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 76c | 191.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 184.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed No | 8c | 172$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 52c | 137.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 76c | 132.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…2274backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…f21cbacked Yes | 65c | 120.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 22c | 117.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…b1ccbacked No | 20c | 112.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 75c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abf…69d0backed No | 78c | 104.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…0b7bbacked No | 49c | 101.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…720abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…81e0backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 22c | 99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3b7cbacked No | 14c | 94.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…6beebacked No | 15c | 70.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…c7f0backed Yes | 24c | 63.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +321.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…83dabacked No | 19c | 58.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed No | 78c | 56.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.51per pick | 64cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 22c | 54.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36b…8ff2backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…2978backed Yes | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…e1f4backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…89e9backed No | 78c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…9af3backed Yes | 74c | 35.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked No | 78c | 33.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 77c | 32.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…d0f6backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061f…972abacked No | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…7edcbacked Yes | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…85ecbacked No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?No won
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.