MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16c5ede8ddfdfc37116acae8ea673febe0ebdad0487d1b0d899748e38fd7fe4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 57c | 18,678$10,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,611.64 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 44c | 13,042$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,343.61 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Cardinals | 54c | 11,139$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…4a91backed Cardinals | 44c | 9,995$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,597.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27f…aed2backed Cubs | 56c | 9,995$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Cardinals | 40c | 7,242$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.4 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cubs | 57c | 6,359$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.37 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 55c | 6,105$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.68 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 30c | 5,922$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 69c | 5,139$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.95 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Cubs | 60c | 4,209$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.4 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Cardinals | 48c | 4,008$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals | 57c | 3,939$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.93 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 45c | 3,928$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.49 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 41c | 3,723$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.64 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cardinals | 41c | 3,314$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.26 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 45c | 3,089$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.82 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cardinals | 45c | 2,504$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.18 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals | 40c | 2,400$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Cardinals | 47c | 2,289$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.36 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 53c | 2,211$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 43c | 2,016$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Cardinals | 54c | 1,946$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.16 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 56c | 1,568$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Cubs | 57c | 1,438$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 44c | 1,420$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Cubs | 35c | 1,336$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.43 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…68b2backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,223$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…2d38backed Cubs | 55c | 1,223$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cardinals | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 1,171$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 55c | 1,139$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.52 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,035$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cardinals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…4dcdbacked Cubs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…bdc1backed Cardinals | 40c | 948.02$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Cubs | 50c | 935.91$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.19 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…9d71backed Cardinals | 45c | 838.6$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 45c | 814.41$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.42 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 814$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Cubs | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Cardinals | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Cardinals | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 58c | 733.58$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.73 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cubs | 51c | 585.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Cardinals | 13c | 570.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.66 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cardinals | 76c | 524.02$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Cardinals | 52c | 518.84$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.58 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Cardinals | 59c | 509.42$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.86 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Cubs | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Cubs | 60c | 452.28$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.37 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Cubs | 56c | 437.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 9c | 428.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs | 56c | 404.31$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cubs | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Cardinals | 41c | 399.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 43c | 396$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…b2c8backed Cardinals | 45c | 382.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Cubs | 54c | 372.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cubs | 48c | 362.04$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 57c | 353.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 54c | 342.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 69c | 334.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cubs | 50c | 331.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Cardinals | 47c | 315.73$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 44c | 299.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Cubs | 51c | 295.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cubs | 55c | 276.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 40c | 275.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cubs | 54c | 275$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 6c | 265$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Cubs | 75c | 261.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 29c | 260$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Cubs | 56c | 254.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 244.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals | 40c | 235$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Cardinals | 46c | 232.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 39c | 227.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cubs | 55c | 223$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Cardinals | 29c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cubs | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 44c | 184$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 22c | 181.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f6eabacked Cubs | 42c | 179.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Cubs | 80c | 170.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 169.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.