Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822022058e92704af48a6a1184f02c93c5108c4ac44f2ed5260dd114f9fed9f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Yes | 73c | 13,415$9,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 28c | 12,786$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.23 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 68c | 7,912$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.73 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 27c | 7,869$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.52 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 28c | 7,311$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.97 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 73c | 6,922$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 32c | 4,054$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.07 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…891cbacked Yes | 72c | 3,126$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 3,047$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.46 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…59adbacked Yes | 73c | 2,705$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 28c | 2,301$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.19 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 28c | 2,236$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.11 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Yes | 69c | 2,184$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…e331backed Yes | 72c | 1,542$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 17c | 1,500$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Yes | 71c | 1,484$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 32c | 1,461$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 24c | 1,394$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 31c | 1,315$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.63 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 72c | 1,315$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.25 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 31c | 1,277$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.82 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 15c | 1,200$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 29c | 1,141$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.48 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…9a4fbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 27c | 927$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 68c | 885.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…79ddbacked Yes | 70c | 858.33$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 73c | 852.84$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…da54backed No | 28c | 849.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed No | 29c | 839.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 70c | 809.01$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.41 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 737.64$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed No | 31c | 730.61$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…c925backed Yes | 73c | 696.24$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 689.49$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 28c | 608.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.42 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 68c | 599.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked No | 4c | 577.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…78c4backed Yes | 72c | 564.19$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 72c | 500$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 476.23$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 78c | 453.7$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 28c | 422.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 26c | 419.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 71c | 384.58$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130e…f8ffbacked No | 30c | 333.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 71c | 329$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 32c | 320.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…d4b4backed Yes | 75c | 315.68$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 70c | 290$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 73c | 282.66$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 71c | 279.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…3e0dbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 72c | 240.95$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…cff3backed Yes | 73c | 235.18$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…4c09backed Yes | 71c | 225.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 68c | 222.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…89c4backed Yes | 72c | 212.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebf…6356backed No | 30c | 208.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643f…0572backed Yes | 74c | 206.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…9efcbacked No | 31c | 193.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 26c | 188.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 75c | 187.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 73c | 178.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 69c | 172.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 66c | 165.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Yes | 72c | 161.64$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 72c | 145.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 70c | 140.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…bf03backed Yes | 72c | 138.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…2014backed Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…8df5backed Yes | 73c | 130.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 70c | 120.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…0290backed Yes | 71c | 114.29$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 72c | 111.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 72c | 110.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…d17cbacked No | 33c | 106.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 69c | 101.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf0…75e5backed Yes | 70c | 100.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 71c | 97.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 30c | 94.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…c929backed Yes | 71c | 94.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 73c | 90.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19?this page
- Will Ipswich vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.