Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd9543de8416e028df7c4822f7de051aea40a6a643b55b24a30a2e319234d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 22c | 6,049$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.32 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 29c | 5,530$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.9 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 70c | 4,601$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 7c | 3,019$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,050$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,622$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…833abacked Yes | 34c | 1,279$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 67c | 1,181$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.43 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed No | 1c | 1,132$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…76b4backed No | 71c | 1,000$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 68c | 947.93$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.59 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 65c | 848.67$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 46c | 842.69$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.67 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 67c | 771.24$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.73 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 67c | 720.88$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.08 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 67c | 638.18$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.58 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 478.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Yes | 65c | 467.86$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 32c | 458.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.04 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 33c | 415.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 413.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 33c | 303$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 5c | 295.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 270.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 67c | 268$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…6e78backed Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 65c | 222.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 67c | 216$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed No | 68c | 194.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 178$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 68c | 177$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…5132backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 67c | 146.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 67c | 134$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…03edbacked No | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…26dfbacked Yes | 72c | 100.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 30c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 21c | 73.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 64c | 69.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…853bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 67c | 57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c3…dcaebacked Yes | 30c | 55.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 33c | 53.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 39c | 37.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…b003backed Yes | 33c | 36.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…704abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…4eadbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 78c | 23.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…ddc3backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…e150backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…0545backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…378cbacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…1b89backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…12cfbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…6150backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d0…0c67backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-01-14?No won
- Will West Ham vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.