Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d10715b59dec6b135d7c016d3e61e00e3239c23ce0fea01cd5e842b0fff540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 71c | 2,224$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.04 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,296$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 72c | 840.14$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 71c | 703.3$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.29 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 73c | 637.47$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 72c | 499.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 15c | 483.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…6e78backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 218.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 29c | 213.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…227dbacked Yes | 28c | 213.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes | 28c | 140.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 123.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…e68fbacked No | 72c | 122.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 12c | 110.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 71c | 107.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 28c | 105.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 28c | 100.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Yes | 29c | 90.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 85.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde6…3ac6backed No | 73c | 81.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…8c31backed No | 73c | 68.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 65.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…6a4ebacked No | 73c | 62.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…b91cbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73ef…9c5abacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 72c | 34.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 32.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed No | 73c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf611…3dccbacked No | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 72c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…ffd4backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26a…07e5backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…6f90backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…47cabacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…c477backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…ccebbacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…3211backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-01-14?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.