TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-01-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65019743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes42c2,406$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No60c2,332$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.7316660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes40c1,934$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.6232158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Yes1c1,502$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.183215.6%5 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-66.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No60c1,445$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5785646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes41c1,218$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Yes4c1,026$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.532245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No59c1,007$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes41c854.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No60c791.61$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4756158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes40c743.35$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.346838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed No58c557.12$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.992725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes40c546.58$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6317837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c505.84$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No60c450.53$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No60c340.97$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes42c245.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.782045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No51c210.78$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes49c204.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes39c202.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8229653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes42c193.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.461546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes11c190.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.29027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No61c189.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes41c120.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No59c104.67$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8752060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes42c100.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x822f…ca5fbacked No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+81.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a0e…c4f7backed Yes40c95.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No59c94.88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No59c88.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.640254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes41c82.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.815630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2b…2e45backed No58c81.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f7…2bcebacked Yes41c73.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3415…c863backed Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56cb…5c1bbacked Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No60c70.17$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2212357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.114062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb13d…f35ebacked Yes61c64.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbe…11e3backed Yes40c62.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No61c60.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4140046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb2…7b06backed Yes39c58.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35bf…c2ecbacked Yes40c56.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a6…38c0backed Yes41c49.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.492835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes40c49.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cfd…ac5abacked No60c49.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes41c49.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…ab2ebacked Yes39c45.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac9…7b38backed Yes41c44.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f8…ddcabacked No61c44.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4395…e1d4backed No59c42.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6726247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee95…4b3ebacked No59c40.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.443100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31df…37bdbacked No60c39.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8d…0e1bbacked No61c39.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf257…06c1backed Yes39c39.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f49…0997backed No61c39.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…982cbacked No60c39.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd6…d772backed No61c39.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7f1cbacked Yes39c39.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…6256backed Yes41c39.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c5…1156backed Yes30c38.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f0b…9727backed Yes40c38.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9362…38e9backed No61c37.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d5…510abacked Yes39c37.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf777…c9c0backed No61c37.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd759…2c36backed No59c37.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9208…0da2backed No61c37.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d08…2b37backed Yes39c37.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…b62abacked Yes40c37.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34db…5fafbacked Yes40c36.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd8…cf03backed Yes40c36.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d95…6993backed No60c36.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1453…eac7backed Yes41c36.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152532%8 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No69c36.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.35959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc477…b41abacked No58c36.35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a14…e9aabacked Yes39c36.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd6…5a68backed No61c36.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6168…9f98backed Yes40c35.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed1f…3462backed Yes42c35.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156354%34 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477e…409bbacked No60c35.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490c…0b42backed Yes39c35.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4569…1c20backed No61c35.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.884100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…ec9fbacked No60c33.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4674…afabbacked No61c33.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd1…f979backed Yes39c33.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x478a…1e08backed Yes40c33.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b23…0296backed No60c33.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a29…b5febacked Yes40c33.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf0…5172backed No61c33.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb71f…cb3fbacked Yes41c33.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ff…06c4backed No61c33.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e4…99f8backed Yes40c32.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x615e…b526backed Yes42c32.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.