South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c249e566b92f8bc157597a6f40fbc09938e410e4beacef2de9d92ab53f566db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 28c | 98,944$28,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,197.22 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 30,112$22,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,585.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 30,106$21,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,532.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 10,138$7,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 72c | 6,860$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 27c | 6,718$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 8c | 5,729$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.46 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed No | 72c | 4,284$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 71c | 3,983$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.29 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 72c | 3,842$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 3,686$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.61 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,318$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 16c | 2,259$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.48 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 72c | 2,033$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.75 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 72c | 2,003$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed No | 72c | 1,966$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 71c | 1,882$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 29c | 1,723$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.88 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,709$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.4 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 72c | 1,511$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.28 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 7c | 1,415$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 1,320$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.61 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,010$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Yes | 3c | 946.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 800.02$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 787.88$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 752.06$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Yes | 29c | 676.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 72c | 619.41$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 16c | 616.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 531.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…c001backed Yes | 27c | 513.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 500$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 74c | 499.8$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 73c | 476.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…dd9cbacked Yes | 28c | 466.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 24c | 436.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 432.06$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 18c | 415.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 71c | 412.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 71c | 412.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 24c | 402.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 370.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 71c | 363.56$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 72c | 356.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 72c | 356.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 72c | 356.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 3c | 355.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 4c | 342.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 29c | 336.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 72c | 301.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 71c | 281.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 77c | 248.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed No | 72c | 218.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 79c | 204.39$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 202.62$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 13c | 200.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 194.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 194.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 72c | 173.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 72c | 171.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e07…0163backed Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 72c | 167.64$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…1683backed Yes | 6c | 167.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 71c | 138.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 71c | 138.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 72c | 136.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 72c | 136.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 72c | 136.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 72c | 136.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 72c | 136.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 74c | 130.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…32c3backed Yes | 29c | 116.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…edd5backed Yes | 10c | 115.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 73c | 115.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…e007backed No | 73c | 105.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…d77fbacked No | 72c | 105.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked No | 72c | 104.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 101.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Yes | 25c | 92.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 87.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 73c | 85.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 72c | 81.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 81.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 74c | 78.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…e532backed Yes | 19c | 77.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 26c | 73.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…bea0backed Yes | 27c | 73.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-01?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-04-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.