China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88dcca900dcc92e6f3bfb6fdefd366e5e6cc4ac715309e86884ebe2ad91d26eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8b…676bbacked Yes | 1c | 26,230$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 13,345$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 4c | 13,243$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes | 27c | 9,905$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…caabbacked Yes | 32c | 8,079$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed No | 69c | 7,421$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 28c | 7,267$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,122$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…3a69backed Yes | 26c | 5,870$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 73c | 5,708$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 74c | 5,661$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 44c | 5,334$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…7c8cbacked Yes | 16c | 5,260$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9820…8394backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 77c | 5,150$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…7226backed Yes | 28c | 4,712$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 4,587$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.29 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…b4e3backed No | 77c | 4,585$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes | 26c | 4,517$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 31c | 4,200$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 2c | 4,187$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…4dc0backed Yes | 2c | 3,884$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 79c | 3,752$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8881…4636backed Yes | 28c | 3,006$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…b54dbacked No | 69c | 2,660$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 27c | 2,579$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…e5bebacked Yes | 25c | 2,528$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 1c | 2,301$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 25c | 2,049$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…b3d4backed Yes | 25c | 1,981$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 74c | 1,976$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked No | 72c | 1,950$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 73c | 1,864$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…a4f1backed No | 75c | 1,859$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 70c | 1,800$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 75c | 1,620$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…5828backed Yes | 25c | 1,595$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…0608backed No | 75c | 1,522$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1ebabacked No | 72c | 1,400$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 76c | 1,400$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…0822backed Yes | 2c | 1,182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…9a5bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,121$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 54c | 1,103$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…ab51backed Yes | 30c | 1,087$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…87cfbacked No | 69c | 1,047$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked No | 72c | 1,045$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 73c | 1,000$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 73c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…9bd7backed No | 69c | 926.32$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 33c | 911.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked No | 72c | 801.64$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7b…bba6backed No | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 68c | 753.85$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c43…cbaebacked No | 71c | 731.7$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…3232backed No | 70c | 724$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked Yes | 22c | 721.66$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked No | 72c | 712.44$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…72bebacked No | 76c | 689.37$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 644.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 18c | 635.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…b390backed Yes | 27c | 626.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 75c | 600.58$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…a02bbacked Yes | 34c | 589.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 30c | 569.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 30c | 557.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 73c | 547.14$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 45c | 546.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd98…e83abacked No | 55c | 522.32$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Yes | 6c | 508.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…81e4backed No | 70c | 504.06$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 73c | 500.14$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…2025backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 32c | 497.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…7606backed No | 67c | 486.19$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 72c | 444$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 45c | 399.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 5c | 392.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…5724backed No | 74c | 391$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 67c | 390.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed No | 74c | 374.01$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 70c | 372.48$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 370$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…7673backed Yes | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97b…3f11backed Yes | 28c | 349.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed Yes | 29c | 340.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 30c | 322$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed No | 72c | 312.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed No | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a7c4backed No | 67c | 287.67$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…6f57backed No | 70c | 282.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…dd8ebacked No | 74c | 282.3$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…9294backed Yes | 36c | 271.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…c286backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 29c | 249$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…ea17backed Yes | 33c | 245.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 30c | 236.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.