Champions League · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b47c0d0391aa4700d3faa77850452df03cf7ce05bb9473c3c6fd5ec12d85fd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 12c | 25,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.98 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 12c | 11,682$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,247.3 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 14c | 9,375$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.31 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 9,128$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,896.73 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.33 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 7,975$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,893.24 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes | 14c | 7,901$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 13c | 7,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,059.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 12c | 6,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.67 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 13c | 5,679$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.53 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 5,527$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.44 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 5,050$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 11c | 4,647$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 12c | 4,258$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 4,092$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.08 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 12c | 4,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 11c | 3,861$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.33 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,528$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…f4bbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,149$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +495.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…35fcbacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +231.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 9c | 2,593$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.74 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 2,394$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.37 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…2beabacked Yes | 13c | 2,338$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +271.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 2,240$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.83 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 13c | 2,222$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.12 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 15c | 1,970$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.5 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…3f36backed Yes | 15c | 1,720$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.67 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…cfc9backed Yes | 13c | 1,478$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 80c | 1,382$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…1902backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…502abacked Yes | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…065ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,187$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,164$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.33 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…4ed3backed Yes | 12c | 1,158$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 1,155$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.69 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 12c | 1,122$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.51 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…0f91backed Yes | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,028$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 54c | 1,008$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.02 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 12c | 975.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 13c | 969.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.23 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 12c | 950$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…8e4abacked Yes | 12c | 933.33$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 13c | 923.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.08 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 5c | 878.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 14c | 836$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.96 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 33cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 12c | 825$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a73fbacked Yes | 13c | 820.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…ebbbbacked Yes | 15c | 770.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +244.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 57c | 759.72$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.72 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…b0d6backed Yes | 12c | 729.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 15c | 668.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.88 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 12c | 634.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.06 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f4backed Yes | 79c | 632.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…fdcdbacked Yes | 14c | 630.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 55c | 601.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 14c | 595.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.71 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 15c | 573.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 16c | 499.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes | 10c | 496.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Yes | 12c | 488.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 12c | 485.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 12c | 450$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Yes | 10c | 423.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…5255backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…62d8backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…499dbacked Yes | 80c | 399.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 14c | 396.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.57 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 15c | 389.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.64 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…9fedbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…f83ebacked Yes | 12c | 372.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +273%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Yes | 13c | 367.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.