Fifa International · resolved market
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a90f11fcafb7146a41dd74c98481cec17367a6ee683542c2ac920957a6e1053
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 39c | 5,135$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 2,838$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.58 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 55c | 2,354$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 62c | 2,289$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.45 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes | 37c | 1,536$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,529$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 61c | 1,315$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.06 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.87 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 38c | 1,200$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 63c | 1,177$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 16c | 991.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 63c | 860.54$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 63c | 793.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.92 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 37c | 728.34$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 662.53$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 61c | 620$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 4c | 536.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…8e24backed Yes | 21c | 479.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 37c | 457.55$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…aa0dbacked Yes | 37c | 310$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 60c | 295.88$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 284.39$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 7c | 279.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 38c | 253$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 40c | 249.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 29c | 242.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 63c | 201.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 41c | 195.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 16c | 178.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…34d1backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 64c | 140.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…2d04backed Yes | 36c | 138.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 38c | 130.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 38c | 104.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 38c | 97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11a…59cbbacked Yes | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…ea68backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…2848backed Yes | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 60c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 39c | 61.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…4dc9backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Yes | 39c | 38.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed No | 35c | 37.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-06?this page
- Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06?No won
- Will Republic of Ireland vs. Hungary end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.