Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. Tundra Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf52fae7e13049b5347d72318d5d7594f05e6cef67021cb67fcfdc664c8e4651d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4925…4f82backed Team Liquid | 52c | 10,339$5,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,394.01 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 10,000$6,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,613.31 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 9,576$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.22 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 6,606$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.68 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 4,901$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.36 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed Team Liquid | 48c | 4,897$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 4,041$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.51 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 2,967$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 2,936$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Team Liquid | 60c | 2,772$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 2,591$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.39 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 2,538$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.36 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 2,457$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.27 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 2,308$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,398$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.71 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,367$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,169$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.57 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,072$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.47 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Team Liquid | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 879.75$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.75 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 825$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 815.36$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.4 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2c85backed Team Liquid | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Team Liquid | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 64c | 699$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.36 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 689.92$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.07 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 634.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Team Liquid | 57c | 620$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 489.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.55 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 415.51$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.01 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 401.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 378.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.25 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Liquid | 48c | 369.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…ba20backed Team Liquid | 37c | 214.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Liquid | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Liquid | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Team Liquid | 33c | 180.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 149.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 111$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 88.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…111dbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 84.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Liquid | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 75.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…888fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 73.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Team Liquid | 61c | 73.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Team Liquid | 36c | 72.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…ba52backed Team Liquid | 52c | 57.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 53.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…64cfbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…5091backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 39.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…be40backed Team Liquid | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed Team Liquid | 68c | 32.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…d936backed Team Liquid | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Team Liquid | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec91…96ffbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.