AI · resolved market
Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee4decaf950bd3285a21f555b4ddee3cd5f1b8c9b1356248c9b4fe10a52ab55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 4c | 10,644$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.73 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…ebedbacked No | 79c | 4,047$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 72c | 3,371$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.66 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…1baebacked Yes | 1c | 3,236$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +140%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,864$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 23c | 2,629$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.3 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 2,201$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.99 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 2,048$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.42 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 63c | 1,973$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,846$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…9dfbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,621$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f1…f029backed No | 74c | 1,601$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 1,429$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.9 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…2467backed No | 71c | 1,374$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 23c | 1,215$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 53c | 1,179$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 49c | 1,034$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 33c | 1,024$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.84 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 49c | 1,009$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.38 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Yes | 39c | 815.77$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 22c | 770$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 53c | 759.87$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 74c | 717.02$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.59 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…dde9backed No | 71c | 702.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 52c | 665.91$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 39c | 612.61$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed Yes | 35c | 574.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe5…6d1dbacked Yes | 18c | 522$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 26c | 502.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…2a27backed No | 72c | 502.81$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 491.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 42c | 469.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 41c | 455.7$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…dbfabacked Yes | 24c | 455.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…cae3backed Yes | 42c | 449.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…3437backed Yes | 38c | 441.8$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…a680backed No | 69c | 430$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 19c | 420.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7375…d41cbacked Yes | 23c | 419.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 63c | 400$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed No | 71c | 381.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 22c | 377.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6999…ca8fbacked No | 68c | 364.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…d309backed Yes | 19c | 362.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed No | 59c | 358.98$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 35c | 354.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 59c | 336.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 66c | 331.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 58c | 324$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 26cpaid | +987.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…8febbacked Yes | 32c | 321.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 34c | 320.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 75c | 317$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 29c | 313.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed No | 62c | 310.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a72…03dabacked Yes | 21c | 304.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…e150backed Yes | 34c | 296.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes | 34c | 294.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…7921backed No | 62c | 290.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed No | 45c | 290$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…a1abbacked No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 76c | 284.48$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 29c | 276.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…e719backed Yes | 36c | 274.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed No | 71c | 262.62$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 33c | 260.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…caf5backed Yes | 39c | 258.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 26c | 252.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…4bd3backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 22c | 236.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0129backed Yes | 43c | 233.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…4287backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…7495backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…f59dbacked Yes | 32c | 213.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…113ebacked Yes | 23c | 212.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…8978backed Yes | 25c | 201.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 23c | 189$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes | 27c | 187.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed Yes | 19c | 184.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9841…5f36backed Yes | 9c | 181.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841b…5a7dbacked No | 67c | 169.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 16c | 149.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…91adbacked Yes | 34c | 136.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…a33bbacked Yes | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 75c | 135.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 62c | 133.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b0…c595backed Yes | 26c | 132.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…2e82backed Yes | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…ae84backed Yes | 40c | 127.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…8ce7backed No | 76c | 113.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…bd44backed Yes | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…1666backed Yes | 38c | 109.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 20c | 109.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 61c | 109.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…5ea5backed Yes | 27c | 105.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…3f3fbacked Yes | 34c | 105.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.