Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf67b63d5e48be03095dc6eae7180fd9c0225422154d57f9b060e46b2f93b30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof PARIVISION, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons | 43c | 28,319$12,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,214.12 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 19,018$10,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed PARIVISION | 17c | 13,116$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.36 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed PARIVISION | 44c | 11,907$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed PARIVISION | 47c | 10,000$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.1 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…f637backed Team Falcons | 27c | 8,463$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed PARIVISION | 36c | 8,253$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Team Falcons | 78c | 8,093$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.63 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 7,497$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.91 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 6,320$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.56 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…07aebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 5,520$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed PARIVISION | 46c | 5,412$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 5,348$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.63 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed PARIVISION | 47c | 4,656$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.21 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 4,612$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed PARIVISION | 70c | 4,526$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.65 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed PARIVISION | 17c | 4,367$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed PARIVISION | 47c | 4,218$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.26 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 4,060$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.04 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 34c | 3,986$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.81 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…a6f0backed Team Falcons | 46c | 3,940$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…af41backed PARIVISION | 35c | 3,810$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 3,700$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Team Falcons | 53c | 3,396$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Falcons | 30c | 3,382$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.55 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed PARIVISION | 59c | 3,367$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.36 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0f…23b1backed PARIVISION | 20c | 3,310$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 3,208$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.24 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 47c | 3,038$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.46 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 3,033$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Team Falcons | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,739$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.06 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 2,591$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,540$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.61 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…33aabacked PARIVISION | 16c | 2,441$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 2,326$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d4…ec2ebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 2,228$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed PARIVISION | 47c | 2,163$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.48 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdf…eda3backed PARIVISION | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed PARIVISION | 46c | 2,022$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed PARIVISION | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,570$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Team Falcons | 32c | 1,536$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.84 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed PARIVISION | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,488$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.48 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe93b…ac2ebacked PARIVISION | 46c | 1,483$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ebc1backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,438$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…e9dfbacked PARIVISION | 20c | 1,363$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,325$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed PARIVISION | 17c | 1,318$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…504cbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,292$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…8c66backed PARIVISION | 14c | 1,250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.57 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca9…e423backed PARIVISION | 13c | 1,107$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,080$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.17 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 1,073$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,049$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.09 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,000$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked PARIVISION | 20c | 958.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…5b81backed Team Falcons | 53c | 957.27$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 54c | 917.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.51 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Falcons | 53c | 861$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.67 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed Team Falcons | 50c | 842.34$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked PARIVISION | 23c | 835$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…2780backed Team Falcons | 45c | 826.91$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…3af4backed Team Falcons | 47c | 807.66$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Team Falcons | 33c | 801.14$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 46c | 800$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 66c | 799.83$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked PARIVISION | 38c | 799.68$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.29 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…d668backed PARIVISION | 20c | 761.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 740.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.86 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…273ebacked PARIVISION | 39c | 730.24$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed PARIVISION | 61c | 727.43$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 721.57$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.7 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION | 20c | 700$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed PARIVISION | 46c | 674.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Team Falcons | 27c | 658.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…e50abacked PARIVISION | 47c | 592.59$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 582.83$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed PARIVISION | 53c | 568.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed PARIVISION | 41c | 522.13$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed PARIVISION | 46c | 519.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Falcons | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…fe66backed PARIVISION | 53c | 496.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…7e6abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 466.68$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Falcons | 56c | 460$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…b98dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 433.55$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 44c | 407.01$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.59 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Team Falcons | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…e052backed PARIVISION | 47c | 387.23$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Team Falcons | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…136bbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 370.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Falcons | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…65a6backed PARIVISION | 33c | 355.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…4f99backed PARIVISION | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.