TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Celtic win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$404,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No46c88,107$40,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,166.7412269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c60,090$31,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,563.173,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked No42c47,677$20,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,652.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes58c38,319$22,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,224.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No45c37,641$16,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,702.554843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes51c13,950$7,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,114.524557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes58c13,873$7,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,983.038755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No45c11,445$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,294.5612166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes51c9,531$4,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,864.3233055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No43c5,410$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75027939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked No43c4,651$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No49c4,524$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.412352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No45c4,255$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.4315376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes52c3,552$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+81.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes30c3,362$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.934658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6508345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No45c3,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.871080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+100.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No42c2,511$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.442268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No45c2,108$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.1620050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1602245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No44c1,914$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Yes57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No44c1,434$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.8912955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No48c1,352$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.075536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No44c1,202$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.273839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No47c1,011$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.645763.2%36 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No44c999$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.443339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes26c924.91$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.698129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51320132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa94e…5a27backed Yes58c817.45$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes57c683$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.1410539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No69c668.06$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5612247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No46c599.96$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.984959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No80c568.76$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.752458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No48c499.97$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.986949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No64c459.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.649652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes57c446.96$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0515151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes61c416.59$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes52c415$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c335.84$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.12,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17410332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes50c265.49$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.282740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebf0…7c7ebacked Yes52c263.92$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes52c240.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes52c231.08$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1164447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.675253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes52c196.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes53c189.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes53c189.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.263265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes58c180.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8874…0b31backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes55c162.03$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892540%10 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes58c153.45$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes53c142.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No80c126.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No43c115.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6413552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No46c109.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1620655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed No43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8004…8125backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.026446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0517…933abacked No44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No46c89.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1219736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked No46c87.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes20c81.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.397851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes52c78.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes33c76.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6920042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9d9…fb6dbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No47c51.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1215846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba91…ccdbbacked No48c50.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed Yes58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked No41c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes51c49.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.483938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94e…0d41backed No51c49.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd652…4b53backed Yes52c47.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe37e…0009backed No43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked No46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf135…eb06backed No45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.