Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Wildcard vs. BOOM Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa30120e3a1a993d236955232319eb8068c8f0d8105b66a5d5c33554d0ec5ee9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Wildcard, BOOM Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wildcard | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Wildcard | 33c | 1,007$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BOOM Esports | 67c | 977$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BOOM Esports | 52c | 784.96$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.39 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BOOM Esports | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed BOOM Esports | 32c | 295.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked BOOM Esports | 26c | 251.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Wildcard | 45c | 222.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed BOOM Esports | 70c | 216.17$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed BOOM Esports | 44c | 179.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked BOOM Esports | 53c | 175.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed BOOM Esports | 78c | 174.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Wildcard | 22c | 174.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Wildcard | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BOOM Esports | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Wildcard | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked BOOM Esports | 76c | 62.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed BOOM Esports | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed BOOM Esports | 73c | 25.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed BOOM Esports | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked BOOM Esports | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Wildcard | 64c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked BOOM Esports | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.