Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc197812e9ba8822fb8faa7098abcf5d6b9e4ee02236c0ddf925aa05159e13348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $930,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 55c | 124,428$68,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,685.19 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 43c | 66,079$28,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,789.65 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 46c | 65,159$29,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,210.84 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 44c | 64,676$28,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,218.81 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 44c | 56,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,199.8 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 61c | 55,749$33,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,955.22 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 56c | 49,236$27,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,572.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 54c | 47,172$25,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,473.11 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 38,722$17,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,962.12 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 55c | 38,443$21,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,326.66 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 44c | 28,416$12,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,797.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 23,950$13,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,132.83 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 55c | 22,944$12,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,606.69 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 47c | 19,040$8,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,091.43 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 56c | 17,837$10,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,035.76 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 58c | 16,500$9,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,585 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 37c | 14,366$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,044.91 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 54c | 14,042$7,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,522.84 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 54c | 13,822$7,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,463.61 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 45c | 12,970$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,162.95 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 56c | 11,981$6,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,713.77 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes | 43c | 9,663$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,508.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…c1bebacked Yes | 44c | 9,091$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 3c | 7,254$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 6,541$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.54 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 37c | 6,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…91dabacked Yes | 46c | 6,401$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.96 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 54c | 5,512$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.49 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 5,371$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.11 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 64c | 5,252$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.48 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 48c | 5,209$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…2695backed Yes | 45c | 5,024$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 47c | 4,760$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.93 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 53c | 4,518$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.58 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 64c | 3,966$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.1 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 3,758$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.34 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 56c | 3,417$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 54c | 3,398$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.94 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a307backed No | 57c | 3,288$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 23c | 3,052$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…db76backed No | 55c | 2,721$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,711$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.11 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 2,703$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.15 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 54c | 2,692$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.55 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 55c | 2,581$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.93 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 55c | 2,185$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.89 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 44c | 2,099$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.4 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 56c | 2,022$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.28 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 1,933$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.94 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 46c | 1,927$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 45c | 1,909$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.51 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 45c | 1,892$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 72c | 1,858$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.28 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 46c | 1,802$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 45c | 1,722$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.22 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 56c | 1,718$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.24 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 45c | 1,544$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,532$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.18 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 57c | 1,505$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.79 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,495$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 48c | 1,421$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.69 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 46c | 1,361$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 54c | 1,347$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.64 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.65 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 49c | 1,187$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed Yes | 47c | 1,126$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 45c | 1,100$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…62c5backed Yes | 25c | 1,098$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,091$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.83 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,021$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.77 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,018$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.27 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 46c | 1,010$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 46c | 999.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.99 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 54c | 999.92$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.96 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 989.83$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.01 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 44c | 952.86$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 55c | 940.7$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.57 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked No | 54c | 925.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 55c | 920.67$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.51 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 56c | 910.67$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 888.04$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 45c | 864.45$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 30c | 856$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.48 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.