Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x994879e49c74e2324d99f380ce1289e17578ebb0614283b0106c63b367fb426b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 31c | 12,114$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.04 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…db1dbacked Yes | 29c | 6,557$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…b00cbacked Yes | 29c | 6,545$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 6,417$4,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.94 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4a…cb64backed Yes | 29c | 5,177$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9bffbacked Yes | 29c | 4,829$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…bffebacked No | 71c | 4,366$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…a5b9backed No | 71c | 4,226$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…9a22backed No | 71c | 3,524$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…7920backed No | 71c | 3,520$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…b306backed No | 71c | 3,519$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…83f6backed Yes | 29c | 3,455$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…2ffdbacked Yes | 29c | 3,447$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 3,418$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.06 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 59c | 3,363$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.25 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…5c79backed No | 71c | 2,960$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…cf55backed No | 71c | 2,820$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…db27backed No | 71c | 2,819$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 68c | 2,790$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.73 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,600$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 70c | 2,375$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.43 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 2,314$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.2 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…b574backed No | 71c | 2,255$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 70c | 2,177$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.22 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 30c | 1,656$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 1,086$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.32 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 26c | 1,040$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.04 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 63c | 1,004$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.82 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…9ba3backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…7b6dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 996$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 69c | 985.51$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.51 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 31c | 958.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 591.54$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.19 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 14c | 551.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 75c | 376.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.73 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 70c | 358$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Yes | 30c | 336.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 29c | 331.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 30c | 316.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 49c | 312.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…1fffbacked Yes | 30c | 288$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 71c | 243.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 59c | 234$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 218.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 30c | 210.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes | 26c | 196.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 73c | 191.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 30c | 191.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 167.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…c897backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…2bddbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 30c | 131.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 32c | 130.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…7e09backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 50c | 129.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…66c5backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d27…c460backed Yes | 30c | 118.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…3577backed Yes | 32c | 113.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Yes | 30c | 104.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 29c | 101.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed No | 78c | 95.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 69c | 80.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…0cb3backed Yes | 80c | 80.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…230fbacked Yes | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?Yes won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.