Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf7c30ba20add13f88f9fb4cfa01ca79d3f1b4abb6cf8f2fb60cbf81010a49f

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 28, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $217,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $256,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes	49c	40,010$19,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,602	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No	51c	21,572$11,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,570.24	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	35c	16,441$5,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,817.91	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,350	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No	76c	13,419$10,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,269.47	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-5.1wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	74c	7,999$5,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,109.81	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes	32c	7,698$2,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,453.43	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed No	68c	7,320$4,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,340.4	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+33%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No	73c	7,000$5,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,890	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes	27c	6,136$1,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,651.33	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes	72c	5,821$4,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,167.25	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	48c	5,069$2,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.12	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes	25c	5,007$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.57	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127b…5c1fbacked Yes	26c	5,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes	26c	4,615$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c17…83c8backed No	53c	3,900$2,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,833	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes	24c	3,470$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.82	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	73c	3,005$2,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.92	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9c…107cbacked No	76c	2,665$2,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	48c	2,335$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.5	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes	25c	2,306$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.41	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes	39c	2,243$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.53	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed No	54c	2,206$1,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.71	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df1…dae3backed No	76c	2,200$1,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes	42c	2,164$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.28	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	24c	2,110$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.98	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes	27c	2,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	47c	1,940$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.15	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed No	54c	1,779$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.33	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No	50c	1,776$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No	51c	1,717$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.33	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked No	76c	1,547$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.69	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No	73c	1,320$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.39	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes	21c	1,219$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.94	137	27%37 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	35c	1,158$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.96	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes	27c	1,134$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.55	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes	24c	1,092$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.06	98	49%48 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes	49c	1,086$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.58	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes	24c	1,007$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.85	466	51.9%242 W · 224 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	60	55%33 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes	26c	946.63$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No	73c	874.99$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.25	101	59.4%60 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	25c	840$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.4	280	70%196 W · 84 L	+49.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes	32c	789.12$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.81	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes	49c	752.61$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.78	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes	24c	700$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No	45c	699.99$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes	66c	661.32$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.26	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes	33c	614.58$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-5.0wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No	53c	600$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.97	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d0…68fcbacked No	52c	576.99$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.96	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.43per pick	63cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked No	77c	576.76$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.65	79	63.3%50 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed No	75c	533.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked No	38c	500$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	35cpaid	+76.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes	25c	500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-49%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	207	50.2%104 W · 103 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked No	74c	499.98$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.99	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes	25c	499.92$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.21	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked No	73c	497.26$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.26	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes	27c	478.81$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.28	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	28c	428.57$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d2…b978backed Yes	12c	424.17$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	50c	411$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.5	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fbe…819ebacked No	73c	400$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74da…8701backed No	80c	375$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked No	34c	355.82$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.84	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes	24c	350$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21da…db76backed Yes	26c	342.58$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.07	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes	25c	325$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.25	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	26c	323.98$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.75	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	26c	309$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.34	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	18c	305$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d41…fa71backed Yes	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No	31c	298.39$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.89	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c08…752fbacked Yes	15c	276.67$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No	75c	266.71$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.71	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…c7a2backed No	74c	266.25$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.79	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Yes	26c	266$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.9	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.21per pick	48cpaid	+50%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd4e…1c76backed No	76c	263.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…18f0backed No	76c	263.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes	26c	262.81$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.33	196	32.7%64 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…f0f7backed Yes	26c	254.88$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.27	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes	23c	240$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked No	45c	230$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.6	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No	62c	220$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.1	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	25c	217.59$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	262	29.8%78 W · 184 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8474…0c67backed No	75c	210$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No	74c	202.7$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.7	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	-13.4wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc64e…0cb3backed Yes	28c	199.96$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes	50c	197.3$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.65	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-8.5wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No	52c	192$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?this page
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?Yes won
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event