Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISION
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x155ca1387e30cd311f08c44f22673f8ef2f3ca99eefbba1c24312a57c8d3a242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Xtreme Gaming, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 188,313$125,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,850.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 144,787$41,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,988.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 14,033$7,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.27 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed PARIVISION | 43c | 9,808$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION | 46c | 8,292$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.28 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 6,102$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.2 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 5,982$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.05 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 5,549$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.27 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 5,512$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 4,965$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.69 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 4,767$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 4,453$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.24 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 4,400$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed PARIVISION | 42c | 4,000$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 3,522$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.1 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 3,278$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.01 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 3,100$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…af41backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 2,940$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed PARIVISION | 55c | 2,622$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.44 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed PARIVISION | 43c | 2,096$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…9539backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,006$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.19 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,891$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,883$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,835$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,732$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.13 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…34d2backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,717$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…07aebacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,543$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,500$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…e9dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,484$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,448$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…e491backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,407$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,395$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,302$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.13 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 1,276$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.09 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,250$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…5091backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,247$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,210$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.06 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,200$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,188$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…8c66backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,156$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,088$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,055$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.36 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,034$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 993.18$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 971.01$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.68 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed PARIVISION | 43c | 958.62$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 938.12$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 897.04$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ddfebacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 858.19$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…f46dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 839.28$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 829.55$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.55 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 768$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…f7e4backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 715.61$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 687.25$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…9155backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 667.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 658.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…cca1backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 642.86$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…8a94backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 638.96$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…5080backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 621.98$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…1e92backed PARIVISION | 49c | 618.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…ff78backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 610.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 600$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 569.01$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 60c | 569$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 555.12$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.42 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 536$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…05d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…be47backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 490$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed PARIVISION | 43c | 467.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.05 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…cb7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 444.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 425.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 400$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 398.61$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 351.09$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…c0dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 346.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…888fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 341.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…6f29backed PARIVISION | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7aa5backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 333.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 327$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 320$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 314.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…37b4backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 313$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 305.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed PARIVISION | 72c | 301.04$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.