Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d2154296dff7a0a9cf5dc9fa3b0340aa0ff2bd0391ae1f50c1ce1e1160c8cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 23c | 68,000$15,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,639.99 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 77c | 46,508$35,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,851.26 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 77c | 30,350$23,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,980.53 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 77c | 20,200$15,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.04 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 77c | 10,026$7,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 24c | 4,931$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…1e6bbacked Yes | 28c | 4,810$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 24c | 4,160$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 4,100$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.98 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 27c | 4,026$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 4,007$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.17 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 76c | 3,029$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.99 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 2,532$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.18 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.71 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 25c | 1,999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 34c | 1,787$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.65 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,581$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.67 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 47c | 1,338$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.7 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 1,309$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.77 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 25c | 1,099$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,043$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.43 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 77c | 1,021$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,016$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 24c | 1,013$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.03 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 960.49$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.56 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 62c | 914.79$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 24c | 839.07$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 77c | 836.36$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 75c | 800.48$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 77c | 768$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 77c | 752.2$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.01 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 731.01$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.79 | 173 | 65.9%114 W · 59 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 22c | 710.03$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Yes | 79c | 699.92$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +281%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 78c | 673.08$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 5c | 590.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 24c | 576.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 75c | 572.6$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 51c | 561.92$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 77c | 531$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.02 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 77c | 504.35$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…22b8backed Yes | 23c | 433.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 77c | 399.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 76c | 374$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Yes | 26c | 356.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 62c | 342$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 23c | 295.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 75c | 292$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed No | 47c | 260.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked No | 48c | 246.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 72c | 216.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed No | 77c | 216$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 77c | 178.71$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 76c | 167.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 74c | 166.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 156$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 75c | 145$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e978backed Yes | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 34c | 137$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 9c | 128.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 23c | 120.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed No | 77c | 118$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 18c | 97.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 77c | 94.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Yes | 27c | 92.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…da8abacked No | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 77c | 85.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…c68bbacked Yes | 30c | 84.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?this page
- Will Juventus vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.