TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb230…4193backed No51c21,785$11,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,780.569857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes52c11,538$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…2f1fbacked Yes50c9,982$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No49c9,953$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.813145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No50c7,363$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,681.5117853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes51c7,022$3,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.052025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+241.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes49c6,052$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.1528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed Yes30c5,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9614953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No50c4,082$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0418231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes50c4,029$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No50c3,924$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.926858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No49c3,852$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.6536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No65c3,603$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.5338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes51c3,064$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.533655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed No51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes49c2,757$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.493336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2257060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed No59c2,489$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bde…8c91backed Yes50c2,171$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.99742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes49c2,037$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9986028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No48c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.9812956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd365…13e2backed Yes50c1,982$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f0…c3bbbacked Yes1c1,908$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No48c1,785$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.5138048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed No62c1,602$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…38e2backed Yes49c1,569$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.561822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes41c1,511$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.731241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes50c1,489$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.534151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c1,424$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.931,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes47c1,280$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.1922054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes41c1,229$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4911743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No51c1,207$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.195341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c1,203$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.41,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Yes1c1,100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No51c1,011$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.172060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104619.6%9 W · 37 L-9.9wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yes46c999.99$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.051656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.997844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No49c999.79$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.896241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No50c990.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.27542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No51c949.95$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9516853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No60c932.23$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.895360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes51c921.57$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked No52c882.6$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed No49c845.34$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.12580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+87.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Yes51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes50c658.09$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.889444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No48c655.53$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.946955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes49c631.93$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6412921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes34c583.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes17c552$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2621744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No61c541.62$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.912737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No51c535.97$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6217852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes39c525.31$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7045…ca0dbacked Yes40c502.23$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502045%9 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+87.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes41c488.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked No56c437.74$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes51c429.24$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.911369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…761cbacked Yes47c425.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa59e…fc8abacked Yes31c425.12$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes49c422.69$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.12825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ef…2c77backed Yes50c417.32$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Yes49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004060%24 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb19…21e4backed Yes29c400$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc03…21eabacked Yes50c397.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No50c390$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1958653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes45c388.09$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.645115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No59c369.87$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6517048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No80c366.03$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0229142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c360$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed No50c353.41$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.71050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed No78c352.33$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Yes49c336.24$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No49c315.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1524047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No66c311.21$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes50c308.9$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…d8c0backed Yes21c304.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+160.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…e978backed Yes10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15319344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No67c299.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f8…188fbacked Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes35c286.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed No50c265$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes16c260.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x255e…4979backed Yes50c254$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004918.4%9 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.510543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes51c244.71$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes50c240.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed Yes43c239.69$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.