Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35daab85d08ff014926d246358d5471b09c60a720f484b03fb0eefbc30762b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 18,015$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,264.78 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 61c | 16,550$10,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,095.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 47c | 3,333$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.34 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 55c | 2,946$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.15 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 2,693$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.71 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked No | 73c | 2,031$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 28c | 1,782$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.14 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 27c | 1,676$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.45 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 49c | 1,494$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.89 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 1,337$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.74 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 956.99$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.04 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 28c | 809.89$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.17 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 664.17$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.94 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 26c | 575.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.8 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 56c | 529.74$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 68c | 387$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 72c | 384.86$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 27c | 370.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 26c | 367.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.15 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 65c | 308$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Yes | 28c | 273.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 78c | 269$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 26c | 243.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed Yes | 46c | 243.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 41c | 241$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed Yes | 28c | 230.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 27c | 218.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 29c | 193.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Yes | 18c | 130$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x199e…fa60backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 72c | 90.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Yes | 28c | 84.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…0972backed No | 74c | 84.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 78.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad4fbacked No | 74c | 78.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…6566backed No | 74c | 69.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 73c | 66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…2a47backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…f237backed Yes | 27c | 55.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e978backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 29c | 38.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…445bbacked Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 23.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 49c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 16.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed No | 80c | 13.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?No won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-09-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.