Music · resolved market
Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62be62dddbace25bb3deacafbb235ea16ae739960f186e4ae748d5b57187a9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $424,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked No | 1c | 40,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…e458backed No | 2c | 23,622$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked No | 15c | 17,672$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 14,925$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.63 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 8c | 14,186$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…eaf0backed No | 1c | 12,850$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…e4dcbacked No | 3c | 10,727$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 1c | 9,982$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked No | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed No | 0c | 8,864$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…2f56backed No | 1c | 8,141$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd6…d7adbacked No | 3c | 8,138$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee2…ef02backed No | 2c | 7,009$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed No | 3c | 6,999$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…f399backed No | 7c | 5,898$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…f844backed No | 2c | 5,833$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 2c | 5,536$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a0dfbacked No | 3c | 5,009$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 4c | 4,776$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…1c10backed No | 6c | 4,492$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…8c21backed No | 2c | 4,467$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…0d25backed No | 6c | 3,825$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…be5dbacked No | 3c | 3,799$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 6c | 3,145$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.57 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 14c | 3,027$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 65c | 2,214$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +2,956.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed No | 5c | 2,197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 3c | 2,173$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…a336backed No | 5c | 2,063$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 78c | 1,937$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Yes | 80c | 1,848$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 33c | 1,748$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked No | 1c | 1,667$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ce54backed No | 2c | 1,608$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 12c | 1,608$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…535fbacked No | 2c | 1,537$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 78c | 1,499$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cd…f6b3backed No | 4c | 1,400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415e…4448backed No | 2c | 1,294$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 9c | 1,275$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 23c | 1,262$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 70c | 1,238$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…9bf4backed No | 2c | 1,196$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…0c44backed No | 2c | 886.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 15c | 799.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed No | 2c | 778.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…74c9backed No | 1c | 770.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 748$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 56c | 598.72$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.46 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed No | 6c | 533.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f5…b3c1backed No | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…8404backed Yes | 79c | 520$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed No | 11c | 516.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…9dcdbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…0ed3backed No | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…132dbacked No | 16c | 440.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…ac42backed No | 5c | 418.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 10c | 406.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…d9bdbacked No | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 27c | 382.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +104%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…83b9backed No | 11c | 374.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…fd27backed No | 21c | 311.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513a…d94abacked No | 4c | 299.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed No | 50c | 299.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…085bbacked No | 9c | 297.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b0…8e5dbacked No | 4c | 291.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…dc2abacked No | 9c | 287.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked No | 12c | 246.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 72c | 243$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…029abacked No | 14c | 241.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 7c | 239.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…02e2backed Yes | 69c | 221.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fa…9918backed No | 6c | 195.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…3608backed No | 10c | 171.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 68c | 155.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 61c | 151.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 72c | 139.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…5ab3backed No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 8c | 135.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…d2f8backed No | 19c | 134.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…e4eabacked No | 18c | 121.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…e99dbacked No | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Yes | 60c | 113$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 70c | 113$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 39c | 106.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 65c | 100.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 62c | 100.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 49c | 94.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…701bbacked No | 56c | 82.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…6676backed Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…cec3backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes | 70c | 50.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.