Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Nigma Galaxy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de4612a0a1c13ca43754bf646c1eeab24372d181c46b3a47f8791c96850ab0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 12,213$9,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.01 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0f…23b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 10,450$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 8,005$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.75 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 5,496$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.41 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 3,996$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.51 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 3,756$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 3,700$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.99 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 3,444$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.81 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,614$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.06 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…af41backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,086$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…8c66backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 2,043$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 1,996$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.1 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed Nigma Galaxy | 2c | 1,700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,550$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,544$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.63 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,265$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,098$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 4c | 1,021$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,010$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…07aebacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 799.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 738.08$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 713.82$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 667.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 584.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2c85backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 578.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…6754backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 568.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…6f29backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 553.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c9…6526backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 527.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 527.38$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…33aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 490$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…ff78backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 484$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…f7e4backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 452.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…e50abacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 442.23$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…111dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 419.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 399.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…3af4backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 390.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 390.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…f637backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 378.74$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…1331backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 353.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd02…6bbdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 347.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 347.78$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…cca1backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 323$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 317.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 297.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…b816backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 256.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 228.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 223.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…b98dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 221.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…4f40backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…3d7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 197$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c5…7b5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…64cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…8f93backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 153.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +91%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 130.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 108.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…db2ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 83.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…ba20backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 82.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…cca4backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 82.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…49e4backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…c68bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…8bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 77.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…cb4dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 56.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…42f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 54.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…289ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…dd74backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a7…6e8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 47.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 42.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…2decbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 42.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…136bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…888fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 40.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…08d2backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…6461backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 38.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…b538backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…63dfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 33.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.