AI · resolved market
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60d88669ecf0262a53da88a32d894072ff8778eeb99702357df9a9cc2f1be94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 75c | 1,711$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked No | 25c | 453.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…cf68backed Yes | 77c | 342.09$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 78c | 300$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…c9f4backed No | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +160%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 36c | 299.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…614abacked No | 47c | 294.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7301…e58cbacked No | 49c | 291.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…8d47backed No | 47c | 263.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 21c | 249.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…8e28backed Yes | 76c | 239.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 21c | 230.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 19c | 226.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 21c | 214.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…23f7backed No | 17c | 193.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…2c7bbacked No | 26c | 184.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +282.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…e194backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed No | 42c | 162.86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e671backed No | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 16c | 155.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c59…d079backed No | 26c | 151.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…6f38backed Yes | 69c | 149.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…413ebacked Yes | 62c | 149.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…36fcbacked Yes | 62c | 149.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 33c | 147.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…212ebacked No | 25c | 134.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…5c4cbacked Yes | 75c | 133.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0a23backed No | 28c | 126.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed No | 37c | 120.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…de64backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 78c | 115.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed No | 32c | 109.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 21c | 103.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…972abacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…5fadbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…634fbacked No | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…1920backed Yes | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed No | 21c | 92.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +140%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…68aebacked Yes | 78c | 91.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 88.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…b5ffbacked No | 25c | 85.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…f696backed No | 45c | 81.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…650fbacked Yes | 68c | 77.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…701fbacked No | 35c | 72.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…c2b5backed Yes | 73c | 68.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…abaebacked Yes | 78c | 64.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 78c | 63.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0920…19a4backed No | 26c | 62.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…b346backed No | 25c | 60.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 69c | 58.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…0569backed No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…14dcbacked No | 26c | 57.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 74c | 54.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked No | 25c | 51.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 67c | 51.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…c940backed No | 31c | 50.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…6149backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…7cc9backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…c714backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 22c | 45.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…28ebbacked Yes | 65c | 41.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9835…4862backed No | 49c | 40.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…f632backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…ef84backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 37c | 39.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…398cbacked Yes | 78c | 38.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…c8cebacked Yes | 56c | 34.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d0c6backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ad…2509backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0582…b1e9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1a00backed Yes | 77c | 30.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45b…c3acbacked Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…5e65backed Yes | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 43c | 27.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Yes | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe576…eeffbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed Yes | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebca…44a0backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…9964backed Yes | 74c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Yes | 76c | 21.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked Yes | 61c | 20.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…103cbacked Yes | 79c | 17.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?this page
- Will anyone say "Apple" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes won
- Will anyone say "Battery" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes won
- Will anyone say "Camera" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes won
- Will anyone say "China" during Apple launch event on September 9?No won
- Will anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?No won
- Will anyone say "Inflation" during Apple launch event on September 9?No won
- Will anyone say "M5" during Apple launch event on September 9?No won
- Will anyone say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes won
- Will anyone say "Next Generation" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes won
- Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?No won
- Will anyone say "Steve Jobs" during Apple launch event on September 9?No won
- Will anyone say "Tariffs" during Apple launch event on September 9?No won
- Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?No won
- Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes won
- Will anyone say "iPhone" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.