Fifa International · resolved market
Will Greece win on 2025-09-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de60befd99c89e2e0c0ea590ac1526b47f2817195839025b92568166b1293c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Yes | 78c | 7,570$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,876.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 60c | 7,217$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.75 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 40c | 5,629$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.68 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 59c | 4,429$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 39c | 3,826$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 14c | 3,138$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 41c | 2,760$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 2,470$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 62c | 1,941$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.1 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 67c | 1,895$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.89 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 23c | 1,495$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 1,418$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.1 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 59c | 1,187$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.67 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 43c | 1,007$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 999.46$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 60c | 693$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.68 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 42c | 664.34$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 38c | 495.52$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 43c | 486.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 11c | 482.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 420.68$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.96 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 61c | 344$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 57c | 280.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 41c | 270.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…c95dbacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 59c | 250$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…660cbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked No | 80c | 192.23$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 59c | 168$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…b6cebacked Yes | 29c | 162.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 60c | 99.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 37c | 81.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 69.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6731…2d27backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…5c35backed Yes | 39c | 50.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…31ffbacked Yes | 38c | 33.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 62c | 32.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 40c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Yes | 38c | 27.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 41c | 25.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…019fbacked No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece win on 2025-09-08?this page
- Will Denmark win on 2025-09-08?Yes won
- Will Greece vs. Denmark end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.