Fifa International · resolved market
Will Denmark win on 2025-09-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bcdbe9a3654436ce45635b3651586ca03025d4ac2ec61fa714ef7f4c1e53485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 25,221$15,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,660.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 30c | 25,113$7,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,609.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 11,246$7,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,726.58 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 34c | 4,402$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 71c | 4,142$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 2,041$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.95 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 70c | 1,222$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 68c | 1,200$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 67c | 800.35$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.87 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 75c | 735.82$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 30c | 574$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 69c | 522.32$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 409.25$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…5984backed Yes | 29c | 338.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 27c | 310.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 14c | 289.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.78 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed No | 69c | 184.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…53dbbacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 39c | 172.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 33c | 151.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 67c | 150.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 29c | 130$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Yes | 63c | 111$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 105.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 72.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7684backed Yes | 31c | 71.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…8455backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 28c | 59.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…10b7backed Yes | 32c | 59.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 57c | 49.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…3561backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 36.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…c742backed Yes | 70c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 63c | 24.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 68c | 24.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…abb6backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…ea68backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…acd7backed Yes | 71c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark win on 2025-09-08?this page
- Will Greece vs. Denmark end in a draw?No won
- Will Greece win on 2025-09-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.