Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Nigma Galaxy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a29e6cc15008950acacb27924dca6f5567b23d845efbab32a945d6a3fa86527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Team Tidebound, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 10,792$6,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.28 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 6,789$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Tidebound | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 4,998$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.44 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 4,147$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.37 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 2,978$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 2,760$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0f…23b1backed Team Tidebound | 49c | 2,619$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…af41backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,499$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.81 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 2,226$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.97 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Tidebound | 52c | 1,819$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.19 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,745$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,619$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.13 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 1,500$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,390$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.9 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Team Tidebound | 72c | 1,274$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…9539backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 1,258$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 1,237$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.56 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 1,115$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.23 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 20c | 1,054$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,009$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,005$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.77 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 993.33$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.47 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 966.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.9 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 951.76$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 947.37$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 899$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.63 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…b98dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 849.59$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Tidebound | 71c | 845.87$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 840$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…6f29backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 767.68$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 705.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…8c66backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 644.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 586.59$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.59 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…1e97backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 563.59$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…1e92backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…5638backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 500$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Tidebound | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Team Tidebound | 58c | 440$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 428.34$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 400.66$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Tidebound | 68c | 400$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…cca1backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2297…439cbacked Team Tidebound | 71c | 329.3$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Team Tidebound | 68c | 299.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.67 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Team Tidebound | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Tidebound | 71c | 282.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Tidebound | 55c | 256.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…111dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 236.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Team Tidebound | 35c | 219.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…312dbacked Team Tidebound | 68c | 209.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 205.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Tidebound | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 199.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 189.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 188.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…cf30backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 164.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 163.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 143.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…8e47backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 142.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 140$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6443…1ae5backed Team Tidebound | 71c | 130$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…39a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…b87dbacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 114.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…8adcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 109.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…f4eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Tidebound | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7b…aa26backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…ccbbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1962…370dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 94.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…d3c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…888fbacked Team Tidebound | 53c | 94.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…37b4backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…270cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 91.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 83.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 81.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +299.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…136bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 80.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…b6eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 79.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…543bbacked Team Tidebound | 71c | 77.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…0124backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 75.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…c68bbacked Team Tidebound | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9108…cf47backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 62.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.