TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ee5…ac96backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0f…05fdbacked Yes0c18,960$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d8…24fdbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No41c11,973$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,064.322774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8103…7eeebacked Yes4c11,273$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c10,471$6,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,126.674,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes61c8,251$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes57c7,000$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.7417042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c5,895$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf82d…ae0fbacked Yes54c5,596$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes2c5,185$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No39c3,936$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.953046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c3,363$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7902,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No46c2,948$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.9616851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.964748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes61c2,440$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes57c2,020$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14817428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No40c1,616$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.5234628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No43c1,521$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.934555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No57c1,409$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.1977336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c1,357$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.572,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes14c1,330$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No50c1,316$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.6610051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes36c1,216$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4222458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No46c1,134$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.297357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes30c1,101$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes63c1,073$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.724447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes61c940$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.541,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed No39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.237237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No43c739.18$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.5613447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43417544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb202…3909backed Yes6c598.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick25cpaid+98%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes63c595$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73e…021cbacked Yes4c576.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-66.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes60c500.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c497.15$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.931,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No41c413.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9433753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No38c366$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.921,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes3c353.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes59c340.11$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1113944.6%62 W · 77 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes60c340$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20411047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014550.3%73 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No40c323.22$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.888944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes8c319.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5615030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes15c305.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3520931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17721839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c267.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.861,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No42c241.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7939052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked No39c225.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.532814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked No39c225.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.535837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No41c210$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No41c210$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.960557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No41c210$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.937557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.822227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11022448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes5c199.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7812048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed No40c197.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.810539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes62c184.9$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156549.2%32 W · 33 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100224.5%1 W · 21 L-10.7wins-0.49per pick53cpaid-92.5%equal weight25-0.23 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes11c170.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.411019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f2…fa8fbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No41c165$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No41c165$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008834.1%30 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010345.6%47 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes30c154.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4721143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Yes62c153$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.863243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.57640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No42c142$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Yes54c140.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.651643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed Yes59c139.29$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.013951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes61c138.93$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.753935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003762.2%23 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…e4bdbacked No43c129.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.091553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No41c125$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked No43c125$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.252429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes61c122.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Yes61c120.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.229343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed No42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.054438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked No24c118.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.932653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a26…7300backed Yes43c117.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5812342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.