TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ee5…ac96backed Yes0c34,770$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c8,634$5,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.966,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No27c7,209$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,229.991650%8 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+99.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes40c7,106$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.954,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes75c5,342$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6218…f388backed Yes62c4,398$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes19c4,214$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c3,050$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes33c3,008$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.681,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed No34c2,974$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.271560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes19c2,857$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.817945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No41c2,672$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.878842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No74c2,604$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.0810051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Yes2c1,983$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7112245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No23c1,838$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.4549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes18c1,392$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6915030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes20c1,300$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.5923325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes70c1,263$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.8724146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No53c1,121$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.412548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Yes19c1,059$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No76c841.53$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1922458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91c8…753dbacked Yes67c745.36$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3967…a7efbacked Yes70c611.43$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes47c598.75$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.477740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes30c588$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.430666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes54c563$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.3461441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes18c546.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes5c527.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92123.8%5 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes50c524.78$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes5c513.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88be…2272backed Yes21c480.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No79c478.2$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.681,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes5c467.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fc…8d1bbacked Yes9c367.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.481717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb96…0e40backed Yes6c322$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes25c299$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes72c280.07$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.556549.2%32 W · 33 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed No39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4113842%58 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes20c250.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes7c247.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.362653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes21c235.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.167534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Yes19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402516%4 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes19c209.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.621,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes20c202.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4526229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c64…0e91backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402425%6 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed Yes75c199.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes20c199.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6520027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes76c192.21$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.081580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes69c190.13$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0218251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No31c170.69$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5957744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab3…6adfbacked Yes19c170.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.381752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes16c160.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…3430backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010130.7%31 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2b…b582backed Yes46c151.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes21c143.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7912241.8%51 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed No39c137.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.39137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.217170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes12c126.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes62c124.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.235646.4%26 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x114e…d7e3backed No43c121$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes20c118$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5658445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes23c106.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5510820.4%22 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Yes71c105.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf422…ea56backed Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes24c96.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4142324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012546.4%58 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No78c90.91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2029259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb055…1b0bbacked Yes32c87.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+33.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No51c86.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.885280.8%42 W · 10 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed No25c83.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+90.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes18c73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.141,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1523…2e5fbacked Yes21c71.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes59c62.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5912055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes20c60.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.077655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4225…7fafbacked Yes33c60.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…8fb9backed Yes70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1418444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb82…9c54backed Yes24c54.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7994…6a86backed Yes26c47.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.231450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes54c42.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes71c41.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea6…a7eebacked Yes61c35.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d82…ed61backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes52c34.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa46e…b3dabacked Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…67a5backed No64c30.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.114744.7%21 W · 26 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No35c28.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3411255.4%62 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…1d59backed Yes78c25.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.