Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b75f84d46476464dab69fe4c6533485aa2872b156b70d4cb2f0173a6d7930e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 7,534$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 4,096$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,327$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.43 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 997.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.89 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 24c | 900$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 594.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.54 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 28c | 469.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 28c | 431.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.97 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed Yes | 23c | 427.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 392.55$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 348.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 66c | 331.17$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.21 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 21c | 320.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.38 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Yes | 47c | 277.26$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 232$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 223.26$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 27c | 185.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 184.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7866…8645backed Yes | 66c | 181.66$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 174.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Yes | 25c | 164$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 74c | 161.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 19c | 150.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 21c | 141.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 128.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 17c | 118.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 32c | 117.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 74c | 116.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…049abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 61c | 108.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 29c | 108.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…d7e3backed No | 63c | 108$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 51c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…5696backed Yes | 20c | 98.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…2867backed No | 11c | 93.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…fcadbacked Yes | 30c | 93.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 24c | 86.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 23c | 86.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 26c | 85.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 30c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 29c | 77.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Yes | 23c | 73.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 28c | 72.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 71.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 31c | 63.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 21c | 61.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 34c | 59.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 78c | 59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 55.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…021cbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…b582backed Yes | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 46.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 29c | 45.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 27c | 41.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 24c | 40.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 74c | 23.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked No | 79c | 18.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed No | 76c | 17.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.