TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$882,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$931,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $882,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No31c690,148$213,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476,202.243522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes69c161,300$111,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,2972250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes69c114,799$79,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,211.258241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes69c100,000$69,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,999.997060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes69c87,341$60,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,265.465360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes69c62,478$43,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,134.634459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c59,267$40,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,905.022,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes69c41,762$28,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,797.8317852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Yes69c30,000$20,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,7001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes70c15,159$10,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,607.5329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No31c13,000$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,969.8310040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes69c11,500$7,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,93528643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes9c11,373$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.714952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes69c10,813$7,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,460.836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c10,150$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,003.438836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes69c10,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9009857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes69c9,800$6,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,762.066858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes69c7,653$5,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,280.771741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Yes17c7,405$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.251361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf843…0baebacked Yes69c7,246$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No31c6,452$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.613647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No30c4,414$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes69c4,348$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes71c3,055$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.567750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed No34c2,991$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.921369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes69c2,842$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.792835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No31c2,604$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.7821037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes70c2,538$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.5730657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No38c2,528$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.9138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes69c2,495$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.413619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes47c2,231$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes69c2,222$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.1813843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No32c2,050$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.9940222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes68c1,996$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.614953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes70c1,724$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.782948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No19c1,708$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.1410845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes69c1,447$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Yes58c1,384$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.371968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+281%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x646a…7eb2backed Yes74c1,374$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.9666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96a…18d4backed Yes69c1,283$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.51540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yes71c1,281$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.512060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes70c1,146$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.8839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c1,090$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.341,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe378…4cecbacked Yes65c1,068$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6906552.3%34 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69023247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No31c999.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes69c999.99$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.995133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No57c929.31$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes69c869.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54419028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ed…f7b2backed Yes67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No31c715.44$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No37c671.46$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.182927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes69c661.2$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes66c601.21$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.864351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes72c599.97$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.985512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes62c545.63$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes55c544.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes41c538.74$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.883842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked No27c522.79$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.412623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3552737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes63c499.99$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.999444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes31c493.66$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.034228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes69c476.75$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.965660.7%34 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.192466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+65.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Yes71c420.32$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.432060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No40c409.32$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6710649.1%52 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No30c408.07$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6514235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1115…a3edbacked Yes68c397$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No66c382$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1321744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes57c369.91$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.994546.7%21 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes69c360$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.44445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes71c348$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.082250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No31c342$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9810337.9%39 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes66c334.85$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.58224.4%20 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.518650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.524455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…6e14backed Yes71c310.96$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ce…5310backed Yes80c306.03$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fa…20c5backed Yes73c300.91$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21314955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20719344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Yes69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No63c235.25$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.047451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes51c234.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8e7backed Yes69c233$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes78c229.81$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9023…54bbbacked No32c228.81$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028840.3%116 W · 172 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yes71c210.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.214768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes70c210$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c210$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.915442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes69c208.7$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.