Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaad3d37d50c15a78e5a9bfc82530779c12192c386b0d25199e9962eaadf7578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 7c | 10,115$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.52 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…3b35backed No | 0c | 9,894$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…85f5backed No | 0c | 8,877$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1213…dd8bbacked No | 0c | 8,631$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…2aa7backed No | 0c | 7,261$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…a0d9backed No | 0c | 6,956$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…a623backed No | 0c | 4,783$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea6…20dcbacked No | 0c | 4,745$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 4,304$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.2 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e5…0f25backed No | 0c | 4,279$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,691$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.42 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 1,425$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.74 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 79c | 1,203$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yes | 61c | 1,039$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 27c | 907.72$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 28c | 536.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 76c | 499.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 33c | 315.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…0bb4backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 19c | 237.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 20c | 204.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…3f34backed Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 60c | 123.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 52c | 115.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 63c | 87.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 79c | 82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 64.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 58c | 60.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 60c | 50.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…b40abacked No | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 77c | 38.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 55c | 37.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Yes | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Yes | 39c | 26.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…0d59backed Yes | 66c | 25.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?No won
- Will Pafos FC win on 2025-09-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.