Champions League · resolved market
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-09-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe30b3cd32a0d115b2f8e27ccac615c27cf9ae2551149d20bdbbbdb064e98e33f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 11c | 243,838$26,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,822.15 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 12c | 4,146$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,050$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 9c | 2,901$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 12c | 2,808$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…c95dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,643$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,325$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Yes | 12c | 812.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Yes | 13c | 803.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +183.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…3e4ebacked Yes | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Yes | 8c | 634.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 12c | 458.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 440$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…1eb4backed Yes | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 12c | 324.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 12c | 308.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…3f34backed Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 7c | 286.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…5c35backed Yes | 12c | 261.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Yes | 7c | 206$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 9c | 184.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 9c | 183.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 7c | 154$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…aaaebacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 12c | 153$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 12c | 128.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e978backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 71c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pafos FC win on 2025-09-17?this page
- Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.