TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over48c108,546$52,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,939.266566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c40,533$21,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,606.834,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c29,874$15,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,51124245%109 W · 133 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c29,056$14,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,812.3310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c13,577$6,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,989.171,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over32c10,199$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,887.462227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over64c3,077$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.342161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c2,600$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.753,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under4c2,261$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.073641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under51c1,950$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.011942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c1,793$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.962,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ba…d291backed Over69c1,560$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over69c1,304$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.362055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…531dbacked Over63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6412875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over17c619.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.779330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c600$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over69c599.99$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18411056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under52c589.57$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over26c546.54$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.492657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over54c499.6$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8423255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over42c476.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3111037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7817541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…a96dbacked Under54c423.65$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c377.44$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c318.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.711,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under32c307.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.732145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Over70c299.26$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7816250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under30c296$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2303…b9a7backed Under33c267.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2564…08c2backed Over70c252.37$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over40c250.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.126731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502055%11 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over44c225.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7122357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under31c218.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over40c217.5$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.512044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c211.1$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.661,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over69c191$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2116962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over39c181.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.572060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under51c162.63$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0457252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Over69c143$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.333046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x671e…7d17backed Over69c141.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.971070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c136.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9622553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over40c114.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b9…6ae2backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd2…b7ecbacked Under52c108.46$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e0…e058backed Over50c107.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over62c103.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.422366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under43c101.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.297156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over40c81.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1110634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e5…2244backed Over72c79.31$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.31771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over65c79.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7520159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad5…bec4backed Over69c78.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.272060%12 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Over69c78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over34c77.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.334452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under53c76.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.274847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Over40c74.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Over69c73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over40c72.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b4…a70dbacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1b…94b2backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434175.6%31 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over32c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under28c69.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.419947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under62c65.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.795752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc651…98efbacked Over69c63.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over44c61.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.73751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Under56c60.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.831020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under59c59.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.244461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.979966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over40c56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over58c55.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Over21c55.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.133040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over41c53.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.783534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c53.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1242558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under57c50.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.958452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0219544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over44c45.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6117458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…fb93backed Over46c43.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+75%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over50c40.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.354580%36 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under52c40.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9624047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…630cbacked Under60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c9…c4f8backed Under51c39.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Over41c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2311651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.717251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Over55c35.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.973548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf18…7a1abacked Under53c33.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd283…51ecbacked Under32c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561010%1 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under52c32.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.621741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.994283.3%35 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.