La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00d7cfc5702a70a77681d8ab0180b9dde766853c8b9e628123596340c6b96f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Over | 43c | 25,000$10,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,855.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 10,632$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,582.43 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 10,042$5,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.38 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 59c | 3,573$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,521$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 2,101$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.77 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 56c | 900$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 43c | 582.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 57c | 515.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 30c | 513.61$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 25c | 325.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 73c | 265.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 209.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 69c | 145.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 117.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 59c | 116.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…6deebacked Under | 66c | 116.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 43c | 114.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 58c | 102.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1400backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 94.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 57c | 93.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 59c | 89.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 25c | 81.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 21c | 60.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 79c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 56c | 58.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 27c | 57.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 42c | 55.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 43c | 42.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Over | 29c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Under | 59c | 32.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 59c | 28.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Under | 59c | 27.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Under | 78c | 27.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…f87dbacked Under | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 69c | 23.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 58c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 57c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.