La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1c808a74d9c77ad0d03fb7154f823f0e7b747c9d1713bba3b9f426b507fda7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 51c | 12,096$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 6,026$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.78 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 5,161$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.81 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 52c | 1,762$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.53 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 52c | 939.29$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.95 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 51c | 854.06$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.57 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…5f1cbacked No | 53c | 426.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 50c | 301.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 48c | 172$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed No | 59c | 168.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 39c | 166.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 120.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 50c | 109.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 49c | 84.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 47c | 72.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 50c | 70.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed No | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 50c | 65.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 52c | 64.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 60.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdb…2fb8backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…6a86backed No | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 53.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…b015backed Yes | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…dbc3backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 39.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Yes | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked No | 49c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Yes | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d020backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Yes | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Yes | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…15d0backed Yes | 46c | 22.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…e533backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…9f0fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.