TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c18,466$5,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,170.481,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c13,502$9,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,561.016,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes28c10,043$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.6818948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No75c9,356$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.4510962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c3,425$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9592,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No74c2,878$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.9756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes30c2,787$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.4230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c2,434$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.524,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes24c2,182$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.2312345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c1,948$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.732,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No80c1,880$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.0742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes24c1,726$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes17c1,721$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No78c1,213$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3610051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Yes26c750$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.351020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes10c713$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes24c699.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9511142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No66c600.78$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2736462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c503.23$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes27c403.7$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10919732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8751847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes29c287.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0612048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6955…f54bbacked Yes28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No72c210$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No72c210$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes34c207$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504951%25 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9969…a641backed Yes22c177.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes16c174.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes7c173.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2111712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes25c168$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421450%7 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No72c165$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.235157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes25c161.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412924.1%7 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes28c160.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.961,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes17c155.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Yes25c152.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.582548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf310…63b7backed Yes20c151$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-59%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No72c149.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed No73c144$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.884240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes24c133.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No72c125$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked No72c124.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.823325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc6…049abacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes24c99.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9910940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d29…7c7cbacked Yes34c97.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c94.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c91.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.236259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Yes28c85.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.826058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f2c…352cbacked Yes24c79.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2136758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2132755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2138358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b19…6759backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes20c69.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.129137.4%34 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes16c68.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea6…a7eebacked Yes27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.816238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.833057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.831557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.829057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes36c56.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.417655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes22c56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes26c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes34c53.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.27740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes56c53.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9673258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed No73c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.044654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No75c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.025442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No72c40.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3528255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.227661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ff2…d10fbacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.813531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.439651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d51…7b99backed Yes42c35.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.