TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked No63c13,376$8,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,946.3936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Yes37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes34c9,134$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.594936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No66c5,972$3,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.0317853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No66c5,372$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.166858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No67c5,072$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.678241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70028643.7%125 W · 161 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes33c4,545$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes40c4,029$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.9721037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No59c4,027$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.4338343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes51c2,990$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.912737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No49c2,857$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.8224963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No66c2,500$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.9519028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes32c2,472$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.1912921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes35c2,345$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c2,040$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.1629846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No68c1,999$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.6814235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No69c1,884$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9214952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa329…b8ecbacked Yes8c1,684$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.28425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes35c1,600$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5607042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,588$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.552,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No68c1,562$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50017852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0523…c48dbacked Yes8c1,558$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.961421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick12cpaid-50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes37c1,548$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.2335860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…8360backed Yes17c1,444$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No67c821.34$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.045040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No48c519.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2222054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed No68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes22c357$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4329142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No66c334.55$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.592060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes33c302.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556a…53a4backed Yes33c302.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10212956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No67c299.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9912330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes50c294.11$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.063842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb43e…0e36backed Yes50c281.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No72c259.47$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9110649.1%52 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes36c246$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.685529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No71c227.62$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.984768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x365a…8846backed Yes34c223.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes11c212.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.351729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708651.2%44 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No68c204.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4544933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes32c201.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c196.53$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.111,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Yes31c186.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605855.2%32 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x602e…0717backed Yes33c175.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes35c162.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9614332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes53c148.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.175347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No67c148$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes35c144.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503240.6%13 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1258…c286backed Yes35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No66c126.69$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0717426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed No67c123.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.743951.3%20 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No68c120$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes34c118.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes33c118.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396246.8%29 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes31c115.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5911635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No67c114$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.622250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes35c112.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7320462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2915966.7%106 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No67c108.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3816853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes32c107.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.461931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…c50bbacked Yes33c105.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes30c105$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85657.1%32 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf167…809dbacked Yes13c103.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes31c100.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-84%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf47…326fbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504619.6%9 W · 37 L-9.9wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214947%70 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No66c98.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No66c95.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.832060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No67c88.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.135341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303426.5%9 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4921…6f6cbacked Yes26c85.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.850%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No69c77.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9623247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No65c75.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.57953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112854.7%70 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes37c69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.532343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8452…e978backed Yes33c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.132222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No68c60.88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4414044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.